Kosovo · Superliga · Regular Season - 2913:00

11

Saturday, 18 April 2026

· Analysis updated 04:35 UTC

Ferizaj vs Prishtina e Re Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.38 expected goals for Ferizaj and 1.00 for Prishtina e Re, a combined total of 2.38. That distribution gives Ferizaj the largest share of the 1X2 market at 46%, with the draw at 27%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 42% for over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 13%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 46% favourite still loses or draws roughly 55% of the time.

Model pick

Ferizaj to Win

45.5% probability

Low confidence

Expected goals

1.38 – 1.00

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Ferizaj win46%
Draw27%
Prishtina e Re win27%

Double chance 1X

73%

Double chance 12

73%

Double chance X2

55%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals69%
Over 2.5 goals42%
Over 3.5 goals22%
Both teams to score47%

Correct score

  • 1–012.8%
  • 1–112.8%
  • 0–09.3%
  • 0–19.3%
  • 2–08.8%

Why the model likes this

  • Ferizaj home form

    2 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Prishtina e Re away threat

    Scored in 3 of their last 4 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Ferizaj to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 46%, against 46% / 27% / 27% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.38 goals for Ferizaj and 1.00 for Prishtina e Re, a combined 2.38 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.

Recent form

Ferizaj

  • 2026-05-31T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Llapi · 2-3 (L)
  • 2026-05-24T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Drenica Skënderaj · 2-3 (L)
  • 2026-05-21T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Dukagjini · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-05-17T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Prishtina · 3-3 (D)
  • 2026-05-10T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Malisheva · 1-1 (D)

Prishtina e Re

  • 2026-05-31T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Gjilani · 2-3 (L)
  • 2026-05-24T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Dukagjini · 2-3 (L)
  • 2026-05-17T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Ballkani · 2-3 (L)
  • 2026-05-06T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Prishtina · 3-2 (W)
  • 2026-05-02T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Drita · 0-1 (L)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Superliga table

Full league page →
#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Drita36206101566
2Malisheva3618513859
3Ballkani36177122058
4Dukagjini36131211651
5Gjilani3614913-151
6Drenica Skënderaj3615516-950
7Prishtina36131013149
8Llapi36131013-449
9Ferizaj369918-1536
10Prishtina e Re368721-2131

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.