Serbia · Prva Liga · Regular Season - 716:00

16:00 UTC

Saturday, 5 September 2026

· Analysis updated 23:44 UTC

FK Vozdovac vs TSC Backa Topola Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 0.77 expected goals for FK Vozdovac and 1.04 for TSC Backa Topola, a combined total of 1.81. That distribution gives TSC Backa Topola the largest share of the 1X2 market at 41%, with the draw at 32%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 27% for over 2.5 goals and 35% for both teams to score, with 0–1 the single most likely scoreline at 17%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 41% favourite still loses or draws roughly 59% of the time.

Model pick

TSC Backa Topola or Draw

73.3% probability

High confidence

Expected goals

0.77 – 1.04

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

FK Vozdovac win27%
Draw32%
TSC Backa Topola win41%

Double chance 1X

59%

Double chance 12

68%

Double chance X2

73%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals54%
Over 2.5 goals27%
Over 3.5 goals11%
Both teams to score35%

Correct score

  • 0–117.0%
  • 0–016.3%
  • 1–113.1%
  • 1–012.6%
  • 0–28.8%

Why the model likes this

  • FK Vozdovac home form

    7 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates TSC Backa Topola to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 41%, against 27% / 32% / 41% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 0.77 goals for FK Vozdovac and 1.04 for TSC Backa Topola, a combined 1.81 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 27% and both teams to score at 35%, with 0–1 the single most likely scoreline at 17%.

Recent form

FK Vozdovac

  • 2026-08-14T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Grafičar · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-08-08T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Borac Cacak · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-08-01T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Dubočica · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-07-23T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Gaziantep FK · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-07-17T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Mladost DG · 3-3 (D)

TSC Backa Topola

    Head-to-head

    Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

    Prva Liga table

    Full league page →
    #TeamPWDLGDPts
    1Semendrija 1924330059
    2Napredak330039
    3Dubočica321027
    4FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRV320136
    5Borac Cacak320116
    6OFK Vršac320116
    7Javor311134
    8TSC Backa Topola211014
    9Jedinstvo Ub210113
    10Grafičar3102-13
    11Metalac GM3102-23
    12Teleoptik3102-43
    13Loznica3021-12
    14Naftagas3012-21
    15FK Vozdovac3003-30
    16OFK Bor 19193003-70

    Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.