Australia · Western Australia State League 1 · Regular Season - 1407:00

20

Saturday, 27 June 2026

Litis Stadium · Analysis updated 23:46 UTC

Floreat Athena vs Inglewood United Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.55 expected goals for Floreat Athena and 1.23 for Inglewood United, a combined total of 2.78. That distribution gives Floreat Athena the largest share of the 1X2 market at 45%, with the draw at 25%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 53% for over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 45% favourite still loses or draws roughly 55% of the time.

Model pick

Floreat Athena or Draw

69.9% probability

Moderate confidence

Expected goals

1.55 – 1.23

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Floreat Athena win45%
Draw25%
Inglewood United win30%

Double chance 1X

70%

Double chance 12

75%

Double chance X2

55%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals77%
Over 2.5 goals53%
Over 3.5 goals30%
Both teams to score56%

Correct score

  • 1–111.8%
  • 1–09.7%
  • 2–19.2%
  • 0–17.6%
  • 2–07.5%

Why the model likes this

  • Floreat Athena home form

    15 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Floreat Athena to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 45%, against 45% / 25% / 30% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.55 goals for Floreat Athena and 1.23 for Inglewood United, a combined 2.78 — an open game on paper.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 53% and both teams to score at 56%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%.

Recent form

Floreat Athena

  • 2026-08-15T07:00:00.000Z · H vs Mandurah City · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-08-08T06:00:00.000Z · H vs Cockburn City · 7-1 (W)
  • 2026-08-01T06:30:00.000Z · H vs Kingsley Westside · 2-0 (W)
  • 2026-07-25T07:00:00.000Z · A vs Subiaco · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-07-18T07:00:00.000Z · H vs Quinns FC · 2-1 (W)

Inglewood United

    Head-to-head

    Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

    Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.