Australia · Western Australia State League 1 · Regular Season - 1906:30

20

Saturday, 1 August 2026

Litis Stadium · Analysis updated 01:52 UTC

Floreat Athena vs Kingsley Westside Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.17 expected goals for Floreat Athena and 1.23 for Kingsley Westside, a combined total of 3.40. That distribution gives Floreat Athena the largest share of the 1X2 market at 59%, with the draw at 20%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 66% for over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 59% favourite still loses or draws roughly 41% of the time.

Model pick

Floreat Athena to Win

59.0% probability

Moderate confidence

Expected goals

2.17 – 1.23

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Floreat Athena win59%
Draw20%
Kingsley Westside win21%

Double chance 1X

79%

Double chance 12

80%

Double chance X2

41%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals85%
Over 2.5 goals66%
Over 3.5 goals44%
Both teams to score63%

Correct score

  • 2–19.7%
  • 1–18.9%
  • 2–07.9%
  • 1–07.3%
  • 3–17.0%

Why the model likes this

  • Floreat Athena home form

    15 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Floreat Athena to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 59%, against 59% / 20% / 21% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 2.17 goals for Floreat Athena and 1.23 for Kingsley Westside, a combined 3.40 — an open game on paper.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 66% and both teams to score at 63%, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%.

Recent form

Floreat Athena

  • 2026-08-15T07:00:00.000Z · H vs Mandurah City · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-08-08T06:00:00.000Z · H vs Cockburn City · 7-1 (W)
  • 2026-08-01T06:30:00.000Z · H vs Kingsley Westside · 2-0 (W)
  • 2026-07-25T07:00:00.000Z · A vs Subiaco · 2-1 (W)
  • 2026-07-18T07:00:00.000Z · H vs Quinns FC · 2-1 (W)

Kingsley Westside

    Head-to-head

    Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

    Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.