Folkestone Invicta vs Welling United Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.48 expected goals for Folkestone Invicta and 1.18 for Welling United, a combined total of 2.66. That distribution gives Folkestone Invicta the largest share of the 1X2 market at 44%, with the draw at 26%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 50% for over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 44% favourite still loses or draws roughly 56% of the time.

Model pick

Folkestone Invicta or Draw

69.8% probability

Moderate confidence

Expected goals

1.48 – 1.18

Model version

poisson-baseline-v1

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Folkestone Invicta win44%

Draw26%

Welling United win30%

Double chance 1X

70%

Double chance 12

74%

Double chance X2

56%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals74%

Over 2.5 goals50%

Over 3.5 goals28%

Both teams to score54%

Correct score

1–112.2%
1–010.4%
2–19.0%
0–18.3%
2–07.7%

Why the model likes this

Welling United away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 4 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Folkestone Invicta to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 44%, against 44% / 26% / 30% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.48 goals for Folkestone Invicta and 1.18 for Welling United, a combined 2.66 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 50% and both teams to score at 54%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%.

Recent form

Folkestone Invicta

Welling United

2026-08-15T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Stanway Rovers · 4-0 (W)
2026-08-11T18:45:00.000Z · A vs Leatherhead · 1-4 (L)
2026-08-08T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Whitehawk · 2-0 (W)
2026-08-01T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Folkestone Invicta · 0-2 (L)
2026-07-14T18:45:00.000Z · H vs Braintree · 3-2 (W)

Head-to-head

2026-08-01T14:00:00.000Z · Folkestone Invicta 2-0 Welling United (Friendlies Clubs)
2026-01-31T15:00:00.000Z · Folkestone Invicta 2-0 Welling United (Non League Premier - Isthmian)
2025-11-04T19:45:00.000Z · Folkestone Invicta 3-0 Welling United (Non League Premier - Isthmian)
2021-07-03T00:00:00.000Z · Folkestone Invicta 3-1 Welling United (Friendlies Clubs)

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.