Paraguay · Division Intermedia · Regular Season - 1922:00

22:00 UTC

Monday, 17 August 2026

TacuaryWLDDD

Estadio Leandro Ovelar · Analysis updated 04:35 UTC

General Caballero vs Tacuary Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.41 expected goals for General Caballero and 1.14 for Tacuary, a combined total of 3.54. That distribution gives General Caballero the largest share of the 1X2 market at 65%, with the draw at 18%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 69% for over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 65% favourite still loses or draws roughly 35% of the time.

Model pick

General Caballero to Win

65.3% probability

Moderate confidence

Expected goals

2.41 – 1.14

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

General Caballero win65%
Draw18%
Tacuary win17%

Double chance 1X

84%

Double chance 12

82%

Double chance X2

35%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals87%
Over 2.5 goals69%
Over 3.5 goals47%
Both teams to score62%

Correct score

  • 2–19.5%
  • 2–08.4%
  • 1–17.9%
  • 3–17.6%
  • 1–07.0%

Why the model likes this

  • Tacuary away threat

    Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates General Caballero to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 65%, against 65% / 18% / 17% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 2.41 goals for General Caballero and 1.14 for Tacuary, a combined 3.54 — an open game on paper.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 69% and both teams to score at 62%, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%.

Recent form

General Caballero

    Tacuary

    • 2026-08-10T19:30:00.000Z · H vs Guairena FC · 1-0 (W)
    • 2026-08-01T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Resistencia · 1-3 (L)
    • 2026-07-25T13:00:00.000Z · H vs SOL DE America · 1-1 (D)
    • 2026-07-20T20:00:00.000Z · H vs Deportivo Capiata · 0-0 (D)
    • 2026-07-13T20:00:00.000Z · A vs Independiente F.b.c. · 2-2 (D)

    Head-to-head

    Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

    Division Intermedia table

    Full league page →
    #TeamPWDLGDPts
    112 de Junio VH1912431240
    2General Caballero1811341436
    3Benjamín Aceval1910541135
    4Deportivo Santani1810351133
    5SOL DE America196112829
    6Independiente F.b.c.19685226
    7Resistencia18675-125
    8Sportivo Carapeguá18747-725
    9Atlético Tembetary18657023
    10Deportivo Capiata18585-123
    11Guairena FC19658-423
    12Fernando De La Mora19658-723
    13Paraguari AC19559-520
    14Tacuary18396-518
    15Encarnación193313-1212
    163 de Noviembre180711-167

    Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.