Gimpo Citizen vs Asan Mugunghwa Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.28 expected goals for Gimpo Citizen and 1.07 for Asan Mugunghwa, a combined total of 2.35. That distribution gives Gimpo Citizen the largest share of the 1X2 market at 41%, with the draw at 28%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 42% for over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 13%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 41% favourite still loses or draws roughly 59% of the time.

Model pick

Gimpo Citizen or Draw

69.1% probability

Moderate confidence

Expected goals

1.28 – 1.07

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Gimpo Citizen win41%

Draw28%

Asan Mugunghwa win31%

Double chance 1X

69%

Double chance 12

72%

Double chance X2

59%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals68%

Over 2.5 goals42%

Over 3.5 goals21%

Both teams to score47%

Correct score

1–113.1%
1–012.2%
0–110.2%
0–09.6%
2–18.4%

Why the model likes this

Gimpo Citizen home form
9 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Asan Mugunghwa away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Gimpo Citizen to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 41%, against 41% / 28% / 31% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.28 goals for Gimpo Citizen and 1.07 for Asan Mugunghwa, a combined 2.35 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.

Recent form

Gimpo Citizen

2026-08-07T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Cheongju · 3-0 (W)
2026-08-02T10:30:00.000Z · H vs Gyeongnam FC · 1-1 (D)
2026-07-29T10:00:00.000Z · H vs Incheon United · 1-0 (W)
2026-07-26T10:30:00.000Z · H vs Yongin City · 1-1 (D)
2026-07-18T10:30:00.000Z · H vs Daegu FC · 1-1 (D)

Asan Mugunghwa

2026-08-07T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Ansan Greeners · 1-1 (D)
2026-08-01T10:30:00.000Z · H vs Seongnam FC · 2-0 (W)
2026-07-29T10:00:00.000Z · H vs Siheung Citizen · 2-1 (W)
2026-07-25T10:30:00.000Z · A vs Hwaseong · 2-3 (L)
2026-07-18T10:30:00.000Z · A vs Jeonnam Dragons · 0-1 (L)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

K League 2 table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Suwon Bluewings	21	12	5	4	12	41
2	Suwon City FC	20	10	7	3	15	37
3	Busan I Park	21	11	4	6	8	37
4	Seoul E-Land FC	20	11	4	5	11	37
5	Hwaseong	21	10	6	5	12	36
6	Daegu FC	20	10	5	5	9	35
7	Gimpo Citizen	20	7	9	4	4	30
8	Asan Mugunghwa	20	7	7	6	5	28
9	Gyeongnam FC	21	6	8	7	-1	26
10	Seongnam FC	19	5	8	6	-2	23
11	Yongin City	20	4	10	6	-4	22
12	Cheongju	21	3	13	5	-9	22
13	Paju Citizen	20	6	3	11	-6	21
14	Cheonan City	20	4	8	8	-3	20
15	Ansan Greeners	20	5	4	11	-16	19
16	Jeonnam Dragons	20	2	7	11	-14	13
17	Gimhae City	20	2	6	12	-21	12

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.