Sweden · Damallsvenskan · Regular Season - 1016:00
Häcken WWWWWW

20

Thursday, 18 June 2026

Rosengård WLLDWL

Nordic Wellness Arena · Referee D. Demo · Analysis updated 00:27 UTC

Häcken W vs Rosengård W Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.97 expected goals for Häcken W and 0.75 for Rosengård W, a combined total of 3.72. That distribution gives Häcken W the largest share of the 1X2 market at 82%, with the draw at 12%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 71% for over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score, with 2–0 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 82% favourite still loses or draws roughly 18% of the time.

Model pick

Häcken W to Win

81.9% probability

High confidence

Expected goals

2.97 – 0.75

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Häcken W win82%
Draw12%
Rosengård W win6%

Double chance 1X

94%

Double chance 12

88%

Double chance X2

18%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals88%
Over 2.5 goals71%
Over 3.5 goals51%
Both teams to score50%

Correct score

  • 2–010.7%
  • 3–010.6%
  • 2–18.0%
  • 3–17.9%
  • 4–07.9%

Why the model likes this

  • Häcken W home form

    12 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Häcken W to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 82%, against 82% / 12% / 6% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 2.97 goals for Häcken W and 0.75 for Rosengård W, a combined 3.72 — an open game on paper.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 71% and both teams to score at 50%, with 2–0 the single most likely scoreline at 11%.

Recent form

Häcken W

  • 2026-08-15T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Brommapojkarna W · 6-0 (W)
  • 2026-08-09T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Piteå W · 4-1 (W)
  • 2026-08-02T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Eskilstuna United W · 6-0 (W)
  • 2026-06-24T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Uppsala W · 3-2 (W)
  • 2026-06-18T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Rosengård W · 2-0 (W)

Rosengård W

    Head-to-head

    Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

    Damallsvenskan table

    Full league page →
    #TeamPWDLGDPts
    1Häcken W1413013139
    2Hammarby W1311112534
    3Malmö FF W147431925
    4AIK W14734124
    5Eskilstuna United W14725-523
    6Vittsjö W14635021
    7Kristianstad W13535-318
    8Piteå W13436-515
    9Brommapojkarna W14509-1315
    10Växjö W14428-614
    11Djurgården W14428-614
    12Norrköping W13265-312
    13Rosengård W14248-510
    14Uppsala W141310-306

    Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.