Hannover 96 II vs BSG Chemie Leipzig Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.90 expected goals for Hannover 96 II and 1.85 for BSG Chemie Leipzig, a combined total of 4.75. That distribution gives Hannover 96 II the largest share of the 1X2 market at 60%, with the draw at 17%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 85% for over 2.5 goals and 79% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 7%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 60% favourite still loses or draws roughly 41% of the time.

Model pick

Hannover 96 II to Win

59.5% probability

Moderate confidence

Expected goals

2.90 – 1.85

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Hannover 96 II win60%

Draw17%

BSG Chemie Leipzig win23%

Double chance 1X

77%

Double chance 12

83%

Double chance X2

41%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals95%

Over 2.5 goals85%

Over 3.5 goals70%

Both teams to score79%

Correct score

2–16.7%
3–16.5%
2–26.2%
3–26.0%
4–14.7%

Why the model likes this

Hannover 96 II home form
9 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Hannover 96 II to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 60%, against 60% / 17% / 23% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.90 goals for Hannover 96 II and 1.85 for BSG Chemie Leipzig, a combined 4.75 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 85% and both teams to score at 79%, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 7%.

Recent form

Hannover 96 II

2026-08-12T17:30:00.000Z · A vs SV Drochtersen/Assel · 2-1 (W)
2026-08-07T16:30:00.000Z · H vs HSC Hannover · 2-0 (W)
2026-08-01T13:30:00.000Z · A vs Bremer SV · 3-0 (W)
2026-07-25T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Havelse · 3-1 (W)
2026-07-18T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Wiedenbrück · 0-1 (L)

BSG Chemie Leipzig

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.