Harrogate Town vs Solihull Moors Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 3.42 expected goals for Harrogate Town and 1.25 for Solihull Moors, a combined total of 4.67. That distribution gives Harrogate Town the largest share of the 1X2 market at 78%, with the draw at 12%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 84% for over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score, with 3–1 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 78% favourite still loses or draws roughly 22% of the time.

Model pick

Harrogate Town to Win

78.1% probability

High confidence

Expected goals

3.42 – 1.25

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Harrogate Town win78%

Draw12%

Solihull Moors win10%

Double chance 1X

90%

Double chance 12

88%

Double chance X2

22%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals94%

Over 2.5 goals84%

Over 3.5 goals68%

Both teams to score68%

Correct score

3–17.8%
2–16.8%
4–16.7%
3–06.3%
2–05.5%

Why the model likes this

Solihull Moors away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Harrogate Town to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 78%, against 78% / 12% / 10% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 3.42 goals for Harrogate Town and 1.25 for Solihull Moors, a combined 4.67 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 84% and both teams to score at 68%, with 3–1 the single most likely scoreline at 8%.

Recent form

Harrogate Town

Solihull Moors

2026-08-15T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Boston United · 0-2 (L)
2026-08-08T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Harrogate Town · 2-5 (L)
2026-08-01T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Northampton · 2-4 (L)
2026-07-28T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Burton Albion · 1-1 (D)
2026-07-25T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Hereford · 3-0 (W)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

National League table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Harrogate Town	2	2	0	0	5	6
2	AFC Hornchurch	2	2	0	0	4	6
3	Sutton Utd	2	2	0	0	4	6
4	Southend	2	2	0	0	3	6
5	Hartlepool	2	2	0	0	3	6
6	Forest Green	2	2	0	0	2	6
7	Boreham Wood	2	1	1	0	2	4
8	AFC Fylde	2	1	1	0	1	4
9	Gateshead	2	1	0	1	1	3
10	Boston United	2	1	0	1	1	3
11	Worthing	2	1	0	1	0	3
12	Eastleigh	2	1	0	1	0	3
13	Aldershot Town	2	1	0	1	0	3
14	Kidderminster Harriers	2	1	0	1	-2	3
15	Yeovil Town	2	0	2	0	0	2
16	Tamworth	2	0	1	1	-1	1
17	Carlisle	2	0	1	1	-1	1
18	Scunthorpe	2	0	1	1	-1	1
19	Wealdstone	2	0	1	1	-2	1
20	FC Halifax Town	2	0	0	2	-3	0
21	Altrincham	2	0	0	2	-3	0
22	Barrow	2	0	0	2	-3	0
23	Solihull Moors	2	0	0	2	-5	0
24	Woking	2	0	0	2	-5	0

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.