Hereford vs Solihull Moors Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 0.93 expected goals for Hereford and 1.38 for Solihull Moors, a combined total of 2.30. That distribution gives Solihull Moors the largest share of the 1X2 market at 47%, with the draw at 28%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 40% for over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score, with 0–1 the single most likely scoreline at 14%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 47% favourite still loses or draws roughly 53% of the time.

Model pick

Solihull Moors to Win

47.3% probability

Low confidence

Expected goals

0.93 – 1.38

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Hereford win25%

Draw28%

Solihull Moors win47%

Double chance 1X

53%

Double chance 12

73%

Double chance X2

75%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals67%

Over 2.5 goals40%

Over 3.5 goals20%

Both teams to score45%

Correct score

0–113.8%
1–112.8%
0–010.0%
0–29.5%
1–09.3%

Why the model likes this

Solihull Moors away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Solihull Moors to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 47%, against 25% / 28% / 47% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 0.93 goals for Hereford and 1.38 for Solihull Moors, a combined 2.30 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 40% and both teams to score at 45%, with 0–1 the single most likely scoreline at 14%.

Recent form

Hereford

Solihull Moors

2026-08-15T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Boston United · 0-2 (L)
2026-08-08T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Harrogate Town · 2-5 (L)
2026-08-01T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Northampton · 2-4 (L)
2026-07-28T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Burton Albion · 1-1 (D)
2026-07-25T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Hereford · 3-0 (W)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.