· Analysis updated 00:50 UTC
Hódmezővásárhely vs Vasas II Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.38 expected goals for Hódmezővásárhely and 1.73 for Vasas II, a combined total of 3.11. That distribution gives Vasas II the largest share of the 1X2 market at 46%, with the draw at 23%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 60% for over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 46% favourite still loses or draws roughly 54% of the time.
Model pick
Vasas II to Win
45.7% probability
Expected goals
1.38 – 1.73
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
54%
Double chance 12
77%
Double chance X2
69%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–110.6%
- 1–29.2%
- 0–17.7%
- 2–17.4%
- 0–26.6%
Why the model likes this
Most likely outcome
The model rates Vasas II to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 46%, against 31% / 23% / 46% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.38 goals for Hódmezővásárhely and 1.73 for Vasas II, a combined 3.11 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 60% and both teams to score at 62%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%.
Model confidence
Vasas II to Win is the headline pick at 46% with low confidence, built from team strength, home advantage and competition baselines while season data is still limited.
Recent form
Hódmezővásárhely
Vasas II
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
NB III - Southeast table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gyulai Termál | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 12 |
| 2 | III. Kerületi TUE | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 12 |
| 3 | Szeged-Csanád II | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9 |
| 4 | Szolnoki MAV FC | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 7 |
| 5 | Dabas | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 6 |
| 6 | Csepel | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -1 | 5 |
| 7 | Újpest II | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 |
| 8 | ESMTK | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 9 | Monori Se | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 4 |
| 10 | Sándorfalva | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -12 | 3 |
| 11 | Vasas II | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 12 | Bekescsaba 1912 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -4 | 2 |
| 13 | Hódmezővásárhely | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -6 | 2 |
| 14 | Honvéd II | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 |
| 15 | Szegedi VSE | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 1 |
| 16 | BKV Előre | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -10 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.