· Analysis updated 04:31 UTC
Hope Internacional vs Samas Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.20 expected goals for Hope Internacional and 0.72 for Samas, a combined total of 1.93. That distribution gives Hope Internacional the largest share of the 1X2 market at 48%, with the draw at 30%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 30% for over 2.5 goals and 36% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 18%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 48% favourite still loses or draws roughly 53% of the time.
Model pick
Hope Internacional to Win
47.5% probability
Expected goals
1.20 – 0.72
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
78%
Double chance 12
70%
Double chance X2
53%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–017.5%
- 0–014.6%
- 1–112.7%
- 2–010.6%
- 0–110.5%
Why the model likes this
Hope Internacional home form
5 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Hope Internacional to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 48%, against 48% / 30% / 22% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.20 goals for Hope Internacional and 0.72 for Samas, a combined 1.93 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 30% and both teams to score at 36%, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 18%.
Recent form
Hope Internacional
- 2026-08-08T18:30:00.000Z · H vs Samas · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-08-02T18:30:00.000Z · A vs AA Iguaçu · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-07-26T18:30:00.000Z · H vs Iraty · 1-1 (D)
- 2025-10-05T18:30:00.000Z · H vs Iraty · 0-1 (L)
- 2025-10-01T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Araucária · 0-2 (L)
Samas
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Paranaense - 3 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | City London | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 9 |
| 2 | AA Iguaçu | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 |
| 3 | Portuguesa Londrinense | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 6 |
| 4 | União PR | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
| 5 | Hope Internacional | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 6 | Iraty | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 4 |
| 7 | PSTC Procopense | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 4 |
| 8 | Cambé | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -2 | 4 |
| 9 | Oeste Brasil | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 10 | Samas | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 3 |
| 11 | Campo Mourão | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 1 |
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.