FINEP Arena · Analysis updated 03:46 UTC
Hradec Králové vs Plzen Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.48 expected goals for Hradec Králové and 1.18 for Plzen, a combined total of 2.66. That distribution gives Hradec Králové the largest share of the 1X2 market at 44%, with the draw at 26%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 50% for over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 44% favourite still loses or draws roughly 56% of the time.
Model pick
Hradec Králové or Draw
69.8% probability
Expected goals
1.48 – 1.18
Model version
poisson-baseline-v1
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
70%
Double chance 12
74%
Double chance X2
56%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–112.2%
- 1–010.4%
- 2–19.0%
- 0–18.3%
- 2–07.7%
Why the model likes this
Hradec Králové home form
9 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Hradec Králové to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 44%, against 44% / 26% / 30% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.48 goals for Hradec Králové and 1.18 for Plzen, a combined 2.66 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 50% and both teams to score at 54%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%.
Recent form
Hradec Králové
- 2026-08-13T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Beşiktaş · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-08-09T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Baník Ostrava · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-08-06T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Beşiktaş · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-08-02T15:30:00.000Z · A vs Bohemians 1905 · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-07-30T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Tromso · 3-1 (W)
Plzen
- 2026-08-15T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Zlin · 3-2 (W)
- 2026-08-08T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Teplice · 5-5 (D)
- 2026-08-01T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Zbrojovka Brno · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-07-25T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Slovan Liberec · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-07-14T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Polessya · 2-0 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Czech Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Slavia Praha | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 9 |
| 2 | FK Jablonec | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 |
| 3 | Mlada Boleslav | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8 |
| 4 | Hradec Králové | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 |
| 5 | Sigma Olomouc | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 |
| 6 | Teplice | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
| 7 | Slovan Liberec | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 |
| 8 | Sparta Praha | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 |
| 9 | Plzen | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -1 | 5 |
| 10 | Zbrojovka Brno | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
| 11 | Bohemians 1905 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 12 | Baník Ostrava | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -4 | 3 |
| 13 | Artis | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -3 | 1 |
| 14 | Pardubice | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -4 | 1 |
| 15 | Slovácko | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -6 | 1 |
| 16 | Zlin | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -6 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.