Järfälla vs Stockholm Internazionale Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.14 expected goals for Järfälla and 2.27 for Stockholm Internazionale, a combined total of 3.41. That distribution gives Stockholm Internazionale the largest share of the 1X2 market at 63%, with the draw at 19%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 66% for over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 63% favourite still loses or draws roughly 37% of the time.

Model pick

Stockholm Internazionale to Win

62.9% probability

Moderate confidence

Expected goals

1.14 – 2.27

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Järfälla win18%

Draw19%

Stockholm Internazionale win63%

Double chance 1X

37%

Double chance 12

81%

Double chance X2

82%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals85%

Over 2.5 goals66%

Over 3.5 goals44%

Both teams to score61%

Correct score

1–29.7%
1–18.5%
0–28.5%
0–17.5%
1–37.4%

Why the model likes this

Järfälla home form
0 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Stockholm Internazionale away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Stockholm Internazionale to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 63%, against 18% / 19% / 63% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.14 goals for Järfälla and 2.27 for Stockholm Internazionale, a combined 3.41 — an open game on paper.

Recent form

Järfälla

2026-08-15T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Sollentuna · 1-2 (L)
2026-08-08T14:00:00.000Z · H vs IF Karlstad · 1-4 (L)
2026-08-01T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Stockholm Internazionale · 0-4 (L)
2026-06-28T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Umeå FC · 3-1 (W)
2026-06-23T17:30:00.000Z · H vs Arlanda · 0-2 (L)

Stockholm Internazionale

2026-08-09T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Vasalund · 0-2 (L)
2026-08-01T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Järfälla · 4-0 (W)
2026-06-27T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Enköping · 2-0 (W)
2026-06-18T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Gefle IF · 2-0 (W)
2026-06-14T14:00:00.000Z · H vs FBK Karlstad · 3-1 (W)

Head-to-head

2026-08-01T14:00:00.000Z · Järfälla 0-4 Stockholm Internazionale (Ettan - Norra)
2026-01-24T12:30:00.000Z · Järfälla 2-4 Stockholm Internazionale (Friendlies Clubs)
2021-10-02T14:00:00.000Z · Järfälla 0-2 Stockholm Internazionale (Division 2 - Norra Svealand)
2021-07-03T12:00:00.000Z · Järfälla 0-4 Stockholm Internazionale (Division 2 - Norra Svealand)

Ettan - Norra table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Hammarby Talang	17	11	3	3	30	36
2	IF Karlstad	17	11	3	3	15	36
3	Stockholm Internazionale	16	9	3	4	16	30
4	Arlanda	16	8	6	2	9	30
5	AFC Eskilstuna	17	8	4	5	3	28
6	Enköping	16	9	1	6	1	28
7	FBK Karlstad	16	7	4	5	1	25
8	Karlberg	17	7	3	7	3	24
9	Assyriska FF	17	6	5	6	0	23
10	Gefle IF	17	6	2	9	-13	20
11	Vasalund	16	5	4	7	-8	19
12	Sollentuna	17	3	8	6	-9	17
13	Umeå FC	17	4	4	9	-9	16
14	Järfälla	17	4	3	10	-14	15
15	Stocksund	17	2	5	10	-7	11
16	Piteå	16	2	4	10	-18	10

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.