· Referee A. Ropponen · Analysis updated 00:47 UTC
JIPPO vs KäPa Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.82 expected goals for JIPPO and 0.75 for KäPa, a combined total of 2.57. That distribution gives JIPPO the largest share of the 1X2 market at 63%, with the draw at 22%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 47% for over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 14%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 63% favourite still loses or draws roughly 37% of the time.
Model pick
JIPPO to Win
62.8% probability
Expected goals
1.82 – 0.75
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
85%
Double chance 12
78%
Double chance X2
37%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–013.9%
- 2–012.6%
- 1–110.5%
- 2–19.5%
- 3–07.7%
Why the model likes this
JIPPO home form
10 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
KäPa away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates JIPPO to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 63%, against 63% / 22% / 15% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.82 goals for JIPPO and 0.75 for KäPa, a combined 2.57 — an open game on paper.
Recent form
JIPPO
- 2026-08-15T13:00:00.000Z · H vs SJK Akatemia · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-08-07T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Haka · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-07-30T15:30:00.000Z · H vs JäPS · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-07-25T15:00:00.000Z · A vs PK-35 · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-07-15T15:30:00.000Z · H vs MP · 3-1 (W)
KäPa
- 2026-08-15T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Kooteepee · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-08-08T15:00:00.000Z · H vs EIF · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-07-29T15:30:00.000Z · A vs MP · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-07-25T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Haka · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-07-21T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Klubi-04 · 0-2 (L)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Ykkösliiga table
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.