Joondalup City vs Floreat Athena Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.20 expected goals for Joondalup City and 1.52 for Floreat Athena, a combined total of 2.72. That distribution gives Floreat Athena the largest share of the 1X2 market at 45%, with the draw at 25%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 51% for over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 45% favourite still loses or draws roughly 55% of the time.

Model pick

Floreat Athena or Draw

70.1% probability

High confidence

Expected goals

1.20 – 1.52

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Joondalup City win30%

Draw25%

Floreat Athena win45%

Double chance 1X

55%

Double chance 12

75%

Double chance X2

70%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals76%

Over 2.5 goals51%

Over 3.5 goals29%

Both teams to score55%

Correct score

1–112.0%
0–110.0%
1–29.1%
1–07.9%
0–27.6%

Why the model likes this

Floreat Athena away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Floreat Athena to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 45%, against 30% / 25% / 45% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.20 goals for Joondalup City and 1.52 for Floreat Athena, a combined 2.72 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 51% and both teams to score at 55%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%.

Recent form

Joondalup City

Floreat Athena

2026-08-15T07:00:00.000Z · H vs Mandurah City · 2-1 (W)
2026-08-08T06:00:00.000Z · H vs Cockburn City · 7-1 (W)
2026-08-01T06:30:00.000Z · H vs Kingsley Westside · 2-0 (W)
2026-07-25T07:00:00.000Z · A vs Subiaco · 2-1 (W)
2026-07-18T07:00:00.000Z · H vs Quinns FC · 2-1 (W)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.