· Analysis updated 01:37 UTC
Juarez U21 vs Guadalajara Chivas U21 Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.35 expected goals for Juarez U21 and 1.00 for Guadalajara Chivas U21, a combined total of 2.34. That distribution gives Juarez U21 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 45%, with the draw at 28%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 42% for over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 13%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 45% favourite still loses or draws roughly 55% of the time.
Model pick
Juarez U21 or Draw
72.2% probability
Expected goals
1.35 – 1.00
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
72%
Double chance 12
72%
Double chance X2
55%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–012.9%
- 1–112.9%
- 0–09.6%
- 0–19.6%
- 2–08.7%
Why the model likes this
Juarez U21 home form
10 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Juarez U21 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 45%, against 45% / 28% / 28% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.35 goals for Juarez U21 and 1.00 for Guadalajara Chivas U21, a combined 2.34 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 42% and both teams to score at 47%, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 13%.
Recent form
Juarez U21
- 2026-08-15T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Monterrey U21 · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-07-31T14:30:00.000Z · H vs UNAM Pumas U21 · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-07-17T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Puebla U21 · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-05-10T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Guadalajara Chivas U21 · 0-0 (D)
- 2026-05-08T01:30:00.000Z · H vs Guadalajara Chivas U21 · 0-0 (D)
Guadalajara Chivas U21
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Liga MX U21 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cruz Azul U21 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 |
| 2 | Monterrey U21 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 |
| 3 | Toluca U21 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 |
| 4 | Santos Laguna U21 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 |
| 5 | Club America U21 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 |
| 6 | Puebla U21 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 |
| 7 | Club Tijuana U21 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 |
| 8 | Club Leon U21 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 |
| 9 | UNAM Pumas U21 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 10 | Atlas U21 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 |
| 11 | Juarez U21 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 4 |
| 12 | Queretaro U21 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 13 | Atl. San Luis U21 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 3 |
| 14 | Pachuca U21 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 3 |
| 15 | Necaxa U21 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -4 | 3 |
| 16 | Tigres UANL U21 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -7 | 3 |
| 17 | Guadalajara Chivas U21 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 |
| 18 | Atlante U21 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.