Brazil · Brasileiro Women · Regular Season - 700:00
Juventude WLLDDL

01

Tuesday, 21 April 2026

Montanha dos Vinhedos · Analysis updated 00:44 UTC

Juventude W vs Corinthians W Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 0.60 expected goals for Juventude W and 1.94 for Corinthians W, a combined total of 2.54. That distribution gives Corinthians W the largest share of the 1X2 market at 70%, with the draw at 20%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 47% for over 2.5 goals and 39% for both teams to score, with 0–1 the single most likely scoreline at 15%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 70% favourite still loses or draws roughly 31% of the time.

Model pick

Corinthians W to Win

69.5% probability

Moderate confidence

Expected goals

0.60 – 1.94

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Juventude W win11%
Draw20%
Corinthians W win70%

Double chance 1X

31%

Double chance 12

80%

Double chance X2

90%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals72%
Over 2.5 goals47%
Over 3.5 goals25%
Both teams to score39%

Correct score

  • 0–115.3%
  • 0–214.9%
  • 0–39.6%
  • 1–19.1%
  • 1–28.9%

Why the model likes this

  • Corinthians W away threat

    Scored in 4 of their last 4 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Corinthians W to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 70%, against 11% / 20% / 70% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 0.60 goals for Juventude W and 1.94 for Corinthians W, a combined 2.54 — an open game on paper.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 47% and both teams to score at 39%, with 0–1 the single most likely scoreline at 15%.

Recent form

Juventude W

    Corinthians W

    • 2026-08-09T19:00:00.000Z · H vs Santos W · 4-1 (W)
    • 2026-08-03T21:30:00.000Z · A vs Flamengo W · 1-0 (W)
    • 2026-07-26T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Vitória BA W · 4-0 (W)
    • 2026-05-26T00:00:00.000Z · H vs Mixto W · 4-1 (W)
    • 2026-05-19T00:00:00.000Z · A vs Cruzeiro W · 2-3 (L)

    Head-to-head

    Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

    Brasileiro Women table

    Full league page →
    #TeamPWDLGDPts
    1Corinthians W1512122637
    2São Paulo W1511221535
    3Palmeiras W159511832
    4Bahia W15834927
    5Ferroviaria W15762827
    6Fluminense W16745425
    7Gremio W16736624
    8Internacional RS W15735324
    9Cruzeiro W156631024
    10Flamengo W15663524
    11RB Bragantino W15627-120
    12Santos W15555-120
    13Atlético Mineiro W16448-516
    14Mixto W15267-1512
    15Juventude W15249-1010
    16America Mineiro W161411-247
    17Vitória BA W151410-257
    18Botafogo W151212-235

    Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.