Kaisar vs Aktobe Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 0.93 expected goals for Kaisar and 1.23 for Aktobe, a combined total of 2.16. That distribution gives Aktobe the largest share of the 1X2 market at 43%, with the draw at 29%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 37% for over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score, with 0–1 the single most likely scoreline at 14%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 43% favourite still loses or draws roughly 57% of the time.

Model pick

Aktobe or Draw

72.2% probability

High confidence

Expected goals

0.93 – 1.23

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Kaisar win28%

Draw29%

Aktobe win43%

Double chance 1X

57%

Double chance 12

71%

Double chance X2

72%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals64%

Over 2.5 goals37%

Over 3.5 goals17%

Both teams to score43%

Correct score

0–114.2%
1–113.2%
0–011.5%
1–010.7%
0–28.8%

Why the model likes this

Aktobe away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Aktobe to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 43%, against 28% / 29% / 43% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 0.93 goals for Kaisar and 1.23 for Aktobe, a combined 2.16 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 37% and both teams to score at 43%, with 0–1 the single most likely scoreline at 14%.

Recent form

Kaisar

Aktobe

2026-08-15T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Kaisar · 2-1 (W)
2026-08-09T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Atyrau · 1-1 (D)
2026-08-01T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Kyzyl-Zhar · 1-3 (L)
2026-07-25T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Okzhetpes · 2-1 (W)
2026-07-19T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Altay · 4-2 (W)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Premier League table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Ordabasy	22	16	4	2	27	52
2	Kairat Almaty	21	14	6	1	27	48
3	FC Astana	20	11	5	4	12	38
4	Aktobe	22	10	5	7	6	35
5	Okzhetpes	21	9	6	6	1	33
6	Yelimay Semey	20	8	7	5	5	31
7	Ulytau	22	7	7	8	-6	28
8	Zhenys	21	6	8	7	-3	26
9	Kyzyl-Zhar	21	6	5	10	-5	23
10	Kaspiy	21	6	4	11	-7	22
11	FK Tobol Kostanay	20	6	4	10	-7	22
12	Atyrau	20	3	11	6	-4	20
13	Kaisar	21	3	11	7	-8	20
14	Zhetysu	22	4	7	11	-14	19
15	Irtysh	20	3	8	9	-8	17
16	Altay	22	3	8	11	-16	17

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.