Markku.fi Areena · Referee A. Sugulle · Analysis updated 02:41 UTC
KäPa vs Klubi-04 Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.25 expected goals for KäPa and 1.05 for Klubi-04, a combined total of 2.30. That distribution gives KäPa the largest share of the 1X2 market at 41%, with the draw at 28%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 40% for over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 13%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 41% favourite still loses or draws roughly 59% of the time.
Model pick
KäPa or Draw
69.0% probability
Expected goals
1.25 – 1.05
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
69%
Double chance 12
72%
Double chance X2
59%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–113.2%
- 1–012.6%
- 0–110.6%
- 0–010.1%
- 2–18.2%
Why the model likes this
KäPa home form
4 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Klubi-04 away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates KäPa to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 41%, against 41% / 28% / 31% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.25 goals for KäPa and 1.05 for Klubi-04, a combined 2.30 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.
Recent form
KäPa
- 2026-08-15T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Kooteepee · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-08-08T15:00:00.000Z · H vs EIF · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-07-29T15:30:00.000Z · A vs MP · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-07-25T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Haka · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-07-21T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Klubi-04 · 0-2 (L)
Klubi-04
- 2026-08-15T15:00:00.000Z · A vs PK-35 · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-08-09T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Kooteepee · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-07-31T15:30:00.000Z · A vs EIF · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-07-25T13:00:00.000Z · A vs JäPS · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-07-21T16:00:00.000Z · A vs KäPa · 2-0 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Ykkösliiga table
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.