Stadion Miejski · Analysis updated 23:45 UTC
Karkonosze Jelenia Góra vs Polonia Nysa Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.50 expected goals for Karkonosze Jelenia Góra and 0.86 for Polonia Nysa, a combined total of 2.35. That distribution gives Karkonosze Jelenia Góra the largest share of the 1X2 market at 52%, with the draw at 26%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 42% for over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 14%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 52% favourite still loses or draws roughly 48% of the time.
Model pick
Karkonosze Jelenia Góra to Win
52.3% probability
Expected goals
1.50 – 0.86
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
79%
Double chance 12
74%
Double chance X2
48%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–014.2%
- 1–112.2%
- 2–010.7%
- 0–09.5%
- 2–19.1%
Why the model likes this
Polonia Nysa away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 7 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Karkonosze Jelenia Góra to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 52%, against 52% / 26% / 22% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.50 goals for Karkonosze Jelenia Góra and 0.86 for Polonia Nysa, a combined 2.35 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 42% and both teams to score at 45%, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 14%.
Recent form
Karkonosze Jelenia Góra
Polonia Nysa
- 2026-08-15T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Stilon Gorzów · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-08-08T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Zagłębie Lubin II · 2-2 (D)
- 2026-08-01T18:30:00.000Z · A vs Odra Bytom Odrzański · 0-3 (L)
- 2026-07-24T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Stal Brzeg · 0-2 (L)
- 2026-07-15T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Zaglebie Sosnowiec · 2-0 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
III Liga - Group 3 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Odra Bytom Odrzański | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9 |
| 2 | Barycz Sułów | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 |
| 3 | Stal Brzeg | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5 |
| 4 | Karkonosze Jelenia Góra | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 |
| 5 | Zaglebie Sosnowiec | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 |
| 6 | Stilon Gorzów | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
| 7 | Zagłębie Lubin II | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
| 8 | Górnik Polkowice | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 9 | Carina Gubin | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 10 | Sparta Katowice | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 11 | Warta Gorzów | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -3 | 4 |
| 12 | ROW Rybnik | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 |
| 13 | Kluczbork | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 3 |
| 14 | Ślęza Wrocław | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -4 | 3 |
| 15 | Polonia Nysa | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -3 | 2 |
| 16 | Miedź Legnica II | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | 1 |
| 17 | Goczałkowice Zdrój | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -4 | 1 |
| 18 | Rakow II | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.