Széktói Stadion · Analysis updated 01:54 UTC
Kecskeméti TE vs Mezokovesd-zsory Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.13 expected goals for Kecskeméti TE and 0.81 for Mezokovesd-zsory, a combined total of 1.94. That distribution gives Kecskeméti TE the largest share of the 1X2 market at 43%, with the draw at 31%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 31% for over 2.5 goals and 38% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 16%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 43% favourite still loses or draws roughly 57% of the time.
Model pick
Kecskeméti TE or Draw
73.8% probability
Expected goals
1.13 – 0.81
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
74%
Double chance 12
69%
Double chance X2
57%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–016.2%
- 0–014.3%
- 1–113.2%
- 0–111.6%
- 2–09.2%
Why the model likes this
Kecskeméti TE home form
10 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Kecskeméti TE to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 43%, against 43% / 31% / 26% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.13 goals for Kecskeméti TE and 0.81 for Mezokovesd-zsory, a combined 1.94 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 31% and both teams to score at 38%, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 16%.
Recent form
Kecskeméti TE
- 2026-08-15T15:30:00.000Z · H vs Fehérvár FC · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-08-08T15:30:00.000Z · A vs BVSC · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-08-01T15:30:00.000Z · H vs Tiszakecske FC · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-07-25T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Ajka · 1-3 (L)
- 2026-07-11T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Vasas · 1-5 (L)
Mezokovesd-zsory
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
NB II table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Soroksar | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 10 |
| 2 | Gyirmot SE | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 10 |
| 3 | Kazincbarcikai | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 |
| 4 | Kecskeméti TE | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
| 5 | Fehérvár FC | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 |
| 6 | Ajka | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 |
| 7 | Tiszakecske FC | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 |
| 8 | Szentlőrinc SE | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
| 9 | Diosgyori VTK | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -3 | 4 |
| 10 | Karcag SE | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| 11 | Csakvar | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 3 |
| 12 | Mezokovesd-zsory | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 3 |
| 13 | Nagykanizsai ULE | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -2 | 3 |
| 14 | Szeged 2011 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | 1 |
| 15 | BVSC | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | 1 |
| 16 | Kozarmisleny FC | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -8 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.