Norway · Eliteserien · Regular Season - 1312:30
KFUM OsloDWWLL

02

Sunday, 12 July 2026

Bodo/GlimtWWWWW

KFUM Arena · Referee Rohit Saggi, Norway · Analysis updated 02:49 UTC

KFUM Oslo vs Bodo/Glimt Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.13 expected goals for KFUM Oslo and 1.67 for Bodo/Glimt, a combined total of 2.80. That distribution gives Bodo/Glimt the largest share of the 1X2 market at 50%, with the draw at 24%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 53% for over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 50% favourite still loses or draws roughly 50% of the time.

Model pick

Bodo/Glimt to Win

50.2% probability

Low confidence

Expected goals

1.13 – 1.67

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

KFUM Oslo win26%
Draw24%
Bodo/Glimt win50%

Double chance 1X

50%

Double chance 12

76%

Double chance X2

74%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals77%
Over 2.5 goals53%
Over 3.5 goals31%
Both teams to score55%

Correct score

  • 1–111.5%
  • 0–110.2%
  • 1–29.6%
  • 0–28.5%
  • 1–06.8%

Why the model likes this

  • Bodo/Glimt away threat

    Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Bodo/Glimt to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 50%, against 26% / 24% / 50% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.13 goals for KFUM Oslo and 1.67 for Bodo/Glimt, a combined 2.80 — an open game on paper.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 53% and both teams to score at 55%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%.

Recent form

KFUM Oslo

    Bodo/Glimt

    • 2026-08-11T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Union St. Gilloise · 3-2 (W)
    • 2026-08-08T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Valerenga · 2-1 (W)
    • 2026-08-04T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Union St. Gilloise · 3-3 (D)
    • 2026-07-31T19:00:00.000Z · H vs Lillestrom · 4-0 (W)
    • 2026-07-26T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Sandefjord · 3-0 (W)

    Head-to-head

    Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

    Eliteserien table

    Full league page →
    #TeamPWDLGDPts
    1Bodo/Glimt1713223141
    2Viking1713132340
    3Tromso1610421534
    4Lillestrom17827226
    5Molde16736524
    6Rosenborg17737324
    7Brann16718622
    8Sarpsborg 08 FF16646-222
    9Ham-Kam16646-322
    10Valerenga16628-620
    11Fredrikstad16628-1020
    12KFUM Oslo17548-819
    13Sandefjord16439-915
    14Kristiansund BK16439-1115
    15Aalesund16286-1414
    16Start172411-2210

    Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.