Poland · II Liga - East · Regular Season - 715:00

15:00 UTC

Saturday, 5 September 2026

· Analysis updated 01:54 UTC

Legia Warszawa II vs Rekord Bielsko-Biała Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.95 expected goals for Legia Warszawa II and 1.15 for Rekord Bielsko-Biała, a combined total of 3.10. That distribution gives Legia Warszawa II the largest share of the 1X2 market at 56%, with the draw at 22%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 60% for over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 56% favourite still loses or draws roughly 44% of the time.

Model pick

Legia Warszawa II to Win

56.0% probability

Moderate confidence

Expected goals

1.95 – 1.15

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Legia Warszawa II win56%
Draw22%
Rekord Bielsko-Biała win22%

Double chance 1X

78%

Double chance 12

78%

Double chance X2

44%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals82%
Over 2.5 goals60%
Over 3.5 goals38%
Both teams to score59%

Correct score

  • 1–110.1%
  • 2–19.8%
  • 1–08.8%
  • 2–08.6%
  • 3–16.4%

Why the model likes this

  • Legia Warszawa II home form

    6 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.

  • Rekord Bielsko-Biała away threat

    Scored in 3 of their last 6 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Legia Warszawa II to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 56%, against 56% / 22% / 22% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.95 goals for Legia Warszawa II and 1.15 for Rekord Bielsko-Biała, a combined 3.10 — an open game on paper.

Recent form

Legia Warszawa II

  • 2026-08-09T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Świt Skolwin · 5-0 (W)
  • 2026-07-31T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Znicz Pruszków · 1-2 (L)
  • 2026-07-25T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Stal Stalowa Wola · 0-2 (L)
  • 2026-07-18T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Unia Skierniewice · 0-0 (D)
  • 2026-07-17T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Radomiak Radom · 1-2 (L)

Rekord Bielsko-Biała

  • 2026-08-15T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Sokół Kleczew · 0-3 (L)
  • 2026-08-08T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Stal Stalowa Wola · 3-1 (W)
  • 2026-08-05T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Sandecja Nowy Sącz · 0-3 (L)
  • 2026-08-02T12:30:00.000Z · H vs Zawisza Bydgoszcz · 3-0 (W)
  • 2026-07-25T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Lechia Zielona Góra · 1-1 (D)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.