Lujan vs Central Cordoba Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.23 expected goals for Lujan and 0.67 for Central Cordoba, a combined total of 1.90. That distribution gives Lujan the largest share of the 1X2 market at 50%, with the draw at 30%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 30% for over 2.5 goals and 35% for both teams to score, with 1–0 the single most likely scoreline at 18%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 50% favourite still loses or draws roughly 50% of the time.

Model pick

Lujan to Win

49.7% probability

Low confidence

Expected goals

1.23 – 0.67

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Lujan win50%

Draw30%

Central Cordoba win20%

Double chance 1X

80%

Double chance 12

70%

Double chance X2

50%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals57%

Over 2.5 goals30%

Over 3.5 goals13%

Both teams to score35%

Correct score

1–018.4%
0–014.9%
1–112.3%
2–011.3%
0–110.0%

Why the model likes this

Central Cordoba away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 5 of the last 10 meetings.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Lujan to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 50%, against 50% / 30% / 20% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.23 goals for Lujan and 0.67 for Central Cordoba, a combined 1.90 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.

Recent form

Lujan

Central Cordoba

2026-08-09T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Lujan · 2-1 (W)
2026-08-04T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Berazategui · 0-1 (L)
2026-07-31T18:00:00.000Z · H vs General Lamadrid · 3-1 (W)
2026-07-25T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Leones de Rosario · 2-0 (W)
2026-07-11T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Atletico Atlas · 0-1 (L)

Head-to-head

2026-08-09T18:00:00.000Z · Lujan 1-2 Central Cordoba (Primera C)
2026-04-11T18:30:00.000Z · Lujan 0-0 Central Cordoba (Primera C)
2024-09-11T18:00:00.000Z · Lujan 1-3 Central Cordoba (Primera C)
2024-04-10T18:30:00.000Z · Lujan 1-1 Central Cordoba (Primera C)
2023-07-14T18:30:00.000Z · Lujan 1-1 Central Cordoba (Primera C)
2023-03-10T20:00:00.000Z · Lujan 1-0 Central Cordoba (Primera C)
2022-07-23T18:30:00.000Z · Lujan 2-0 Central Cordoba (Primera C)
2022-03-19T18:30:00.000Z · Lujan 1-3 Central Cordoba (Primera C)
2021-08-08T18:00:00.000Z · Lujan 2-0 Central Cordoba (Primera C)
2021-03-20T18:30:00.000Z · Lujan 0-1 Central Cordoba (Primera C)

Primera C table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Sacachispas	23	12	5	6	13	41
2	Estrella Del Sur	24	10	8	6	5	38
3	Berazategui	23	9	9	5	8	36
4	Lugano	23	9	9	5	7	36
5	Puerto Nuevo	24	8	11	5	0	35
6	Centro Español	23	9	7	7	8	34
7	Mercedes	23	8	9	6	9	33
8	Victoriano Arenas	24	7	11	6	4	32
9	Juventud Unida	22	7	8	7	3	29
10	Leandro N. Alem	23	7	6	10	-14	27
11	Defensores de Cambaceres	23	6	7	10	-7	25
12	Argentino Rosario	23	3	12	8	-6	21
13	JJ Urquiza	23	3	12	8	-10	21
14	Deportivo Paraguayo	23	4	8	11	-17	20
1	Lujan	23	12	6	5	13	42
2	Canuelas	24	10	9	5	8	39
3	Yupanqui	24	8	9	7	5	33
4	Deportivo Español	23	7	12	4	4	33
5	General Lamadrid	24	8	9	7	-3	33
6	Sportivo Barracas	22	9	4	9	4	31
7	Leones de Rosario	22	7	10	5	0	31
8	Central Cordoba	23	7	8	8	1	29
9	Atletico Atlas	23	7	8	8	-2	29
10	Central Ballester	23	7	5	11	-4	26
11	El Porvenir	23	4	14	5	-4	26
12	Fénix	23	6	7	10	-6	25
13	Deportivo Muñiz	22	4	10	8	-5	22
14	Claypole	23	5	7	11	-14	22

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.