· Referee L. Lukic · Analysis updated 03:52 UTC
Macva vs FK Partizan Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.18 expected goals for Macva and 2.05 for FK Partizan, a combined total of 3.22. That distribution gives FK Partizan the largest share of the 1X2 market at 57%, with the draw at 21%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 62% for over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 57% favourite still loses or draws roughly 43% of the time.
Model pick
FK Partizan to Win
57.4% probability
Expected goals
1.18 – 2.05
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
43%
Double chance 12
79%
Double chance X2
79%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–29.8%
- 1–19.6%
- 0–28.3%
- 0–18.2%
- 1–36.7%
Why the model likes this
FK Partizan away threat
Scored in 6 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates FK Partizan to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 57%, against 21% / 21% / 57% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.18 goals for Macva and 2.05 for FK Partizan, a combined 3.22 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 62% and both teams to score at 60%, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 10%.
Recent form
Macva
FK Partizan
- 2026-08-13T15:00:00.000Z · A vs FK Tobol Kostanay · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-08-06T19:00:00.000Z · H vs FK Tobol Kostanay · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-08-02T18:00:00.000Z · H vs IMT Novi Beograd · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-07-30T18:15:00.000Z · A vs UNA Strassen · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-07-26T19:00:00.000Z · A vs Macva · 3-1 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Super Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cukaricki | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 10 |
| 2 | FK Crvena Zvezda | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 9 |
| 3 | Vojvodina | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 9 |
| 4 | IMT Novi Beograd | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 9 |
| 5 | Železničar Pančevo | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 |
| 6 | Radnik Surdulica | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 |
| 7 | OFK Beograd | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -3 | 5 |
| 8 | FK Partizan | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
| 9 | Mladost Lucani | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| 10 | Novi Pazar | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -4 | 4 |
| 11 | Radnicki 1923 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 3 |
| 12 | Radnicki NIS | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 3 |
| 13 | Macva | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | -9 | 3 |
| 14 | Zemun | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -8 | 1 |
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.