Mjondalen vs Eik-Tønsberg Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.89 expected goals for Mjondalen and 0.92 for Eik-Tønsberg, a combined total of 3.82. That distribution gives Mjondalen the largest share of the 1X2 market at 78%, with the draw at 13%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 73% for over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score, with 2–0 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 78% favourite still loses or draws roughly 23% of the time.

Model pick

Mjondalen to Win

77.5% probability

High confidence

Expected goals

2.89 – 0.92

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Mjondalen win78%

Draw13%

Eik-Tønsberg win9%

Double chance 1X

91%

Double chance 12

87%

Double chance X2

23%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals89%

Over 2.5 goals73%

Over 3.5 goals53%

Both teams to score57%

Correct score

2–09.2%
3–08.9%
2–18.5%
3–18.2%
4–06.4%

Why the model likes this

Mjondalen home form
10 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Eik-Tønsberg away threat
Scored in 3 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Mjondalen to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 78%, against 78% / 13% / 9% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.89 goals for Mjondalen and 0.92 for Eik-Tønsberg, a combined 3.82 — an open game on paper.

Recent form

Mjondalen

2026-08-15T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Eik-Tønsberg · 2-1 (W)
2026-08-08T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Kvik Halden · 1-0 (W)
2026-08-01T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Notodden · 0-1 (L)
2026-07-25T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Brattvåg · 5-3 (W)
2026-06-27T11:30:00.000Z · H vs Bjarg · 1-0 (W)

Eik-Tønsberg

2026-08-15T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Mjondalen · 1-2 (L)
2026-08-09T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Træff · 0-1 (L)
2026-08-02T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Vidar · 3-4 (L)
2026-07-25T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Sandviken · 5-6 (L)
2026-06-27T10:00:00.000Z · A vs Træff · 1-3 (L)

Head-to-head

2026-08-15T13:00:00.000Z · Mjondalen 2-1 Eik-Tønsberg (2. Division - Group 1)
2026-05-16T13:00:00.000Z · Mjondalen 2-1 Eik-Tønsberg (2. Division - Group 1)
2025-02-21T18:00:00.000Z · Mjondalen 2-3 Eik-Tønsberg (Friendlies Clubs)

2. Division - Group 1 table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	jerv	15	11	2	2	17	35
2	Brattvåg	16	10	2	4	16	32
3	Mjondalen	16	10	2	4	10	32
4	Kvik Halden	16	9	3	4	9	30
5	Notodden	16	8	3	5	8	27
6	Træff	15	7	4	4	5	25
7	Bjarg	15	8	1	6	3	25
8	Sotra	15	7	3	5	15	24
9	Arendal	16	5	5	6	-2	20
10	Pors Grenland	15	5	4	6	-3	19
11	Sandviken	15	4	2	9	-12	14
12	Lysekloster	16	3	5	8	-14	14
13	Vidar	16	1	3	12	-30	6
14	Eik-Tønsberg	16	1	1	14	-22	4

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.