Molde vs Bodo/Glimt Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.40 expected goals for Molde and 2.58 for Bodo/Glimt, a combined total of 3.98. That distribution gives Bodo/Glimt the largest share of the 1X2 market at 63%, with the draw at 18%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 76% for over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 63% favourite still loses or draws roughly 37% of the time.

Model pick

Bodo/Glimt to Win

62.8% probability

Moderate confidence

Expected goals

1.40 – 2.58

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Molde win19%

Draw18%

Bodo/Glimt win63%

Double chance 1X

37%

Double chance 12

82%

Double chance X2

81%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals91%

Over 2.5 goals76%

Over 3.5 goals56%

Both teams to score70%

Correct score

1–28.7%
1–37.5%
1–16.8%
0–26.2%
2–26.1%

Why the model likes this

Bodo/Glimt away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Bodo/Glimt to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 63%, against 19% / 18% / 63% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.40 goals for Molde and 2.58 for Bodo/Glimt, a combined 3.98 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 76% and both teams to score at 70%, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 9%.

Recent form

Molde

Bodo/Glimt

2026-08-11T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Union St. Gilloise · 3-2 (W)
2026-08-08T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Valerenga · 2-1 (W)
2026-08-04T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Union St. Gilloise · 3-3 (D)
2026-07-31T19:00:00.000Z · H vs Lillestrom · 4-0 (W)
2026-07-26T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Sandefjord · 3-0 (W)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.