· Analysis updated 01:49 UTC
Næsby vs Middelfart Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 3.83 expected goals for Næsby and 1.20 for Middelfart, a combined total of 5.03. That distribution gives Næsby the largest share of the 1X2 market at 83%, with the draw at 10%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 86% for over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score, with 3–1 the single most likely scoreline at 7%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 83% favourite still loses or draws roughly 17% of the time.
Model pick
Næsby to Win
83.1% probability
Expected goals
3.83 – 1.20
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
93%
Double chance 12
90%
Double chance X2
17%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 3–17.4%
- 4–17.0%
- 3–06.1%
- 4–05.9%
- 2–15.8%
Why the model likes this
Middelfart away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Næsby to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 83%, against 83% / 10% / 7% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 3.83 goals for Næsby and 1.20 for Middelfart, a combined 5.03 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 86% and both teams to score at 67%, with 3–1 the single most likely scoreline at 7%.
Recent form
Næsby
Middelfart
- 2026-08-15T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Roskilde · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-08-07T16:30:00.000Z · H vs Brabrand · 4-0 (W)
- 2026-08-04T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Bredballe · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-08-01T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Thisted FC · 4-1 (W)
- 2026-07-25T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Næsby · 1-0 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.