· Analysis updated 05:00 UTC
Nautico U20 vs Jaguar U20 Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.48 expected goals for Nautico U20 and 1.18 for Jaguar U20, a combined total of 2.66. That distribution gives Nautico U20 the largest share of the 1X2 market at 44%, with the draw at 26%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 50% for over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 44% favourite still loses or draws roughly 56% of the time.
Model pick
Nautico U20 or Draw
69.8% probability
Expected goals
1.48 – 1.18
Model version
poisson-baseline-v1
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
70%
Double chance 12
74%
Double chance X2
56%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–112.2%
- 1–010.4%
- 2–19.0%
- 0–18.3%
- 2–07.7%
Why the model likes this
Nautico U20 home form
12 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Nautico U20 to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 44%, against 44% / 26% / 30% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.48 goals for Nautico U20 and 1.18 for Jaguar U20, a combined 2.66 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 50% and both teams to score at 54%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%.
Recent form
Nautico U20
- 2026-01-10T18:15:00.000Z · A vs Itaquá Athletico Clube U20 · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-01-07T18:15:00.000Z · A vs Juventude-MA U20 · 3-1 (W)
- 2026-01-04T18:15:00.000Z · H vs Novorizontino U20 · 0-2 (L)
- 2025-11-26T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Santa Cruz U20 · 2-0 (W)
- 2025-11-15T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Sport Recife U20 · 2-1 (W)
Jaguar U20
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Pernambucano - U20 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CA Porto U20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Santa Cruz U20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Central SC U20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Retrô U20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Ipojuca U20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Ibis Sport Club U20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | Atletico Torres U20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | 1º de Maio U20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Atletico PE U20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Sport Recife U20 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 |
| 2 | Nautico U20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | America PE U20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Petrolina U20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Serrano PE U20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Guarany U20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | Academica Vitoria U20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Jaguar U20 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.