Olimpia Grudziądz vs Petrolul Ploiesti Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.52 expected goals for Olimpia Grudziądz and 2.17 for Petrolul Ploiesti, a combined total of 3.70. That distribution gives Petrolul Ploiesti the largest share of the 1X2 market at 53%, with the draw at 21%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 71% for over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 53% favourite still loses or draws roughly 48% of the time.

Model pick

Petrolul Ploiesti to Win

52.5% probability

Low confidence

Expected goals

1.52 – 2.17

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Olimpia Grudziądz win27%

Draw21%

Petrolul Ploiesti win53%

Double chance 1X

48%

Double chance 12

79%

Double chance X2

73%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals88%

Over 2.5 goals71%

Over 3.5 goals51%

Both teams to score69%

Correct score

1–28.9%
1–18.2%
2–26.8%
1–36.5%
2–16.3%

Why the model likes this

Olimpia Grudziądz home form
6 points from their last 3 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Petrolul Ploiesti to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 53%, against 27% / 21% / 53% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.52 goals for Olimpia Grudziądz and 2.17 for Petrolul Ploiesti, a combined 3.70 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 71% and both teams to score at 69%, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 9%.

Recent form

Olimpia Grudziądz

2026-08-09T17:30:00.000Z · A vs Tychy 71 · 1-1 (D)
2026-08-05T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Świt Skolwin · 5-3 (W)
2026-08-01T18:00:00.000Z · A vs Lechia Zielona Góra · 2-2 (D)
2026-07-26T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Avia Świdnik · 1-4 (L)
2026-07-18T09:00:00.000Z · A vs Polonia Środa · 3-0 (W)

Petrolul Ploiesti

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.