Slovenia · 1. SNL · Regular Season - 118:15

02

Saturday, 18 July 2026

BravoDWLW

Stadion Stozice · Referee R. Obrenovic · Analysis updated 23:50 UTC

Olimpija Ljubljana vs Bravo Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 0.93 expected goals for Olimpija Ljubljana and 1.04 for Bravo, a combined total of 1.96. That distribution gives Bravo the largest share of the 1X2 market at 37%, with the draw at 31%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 31% for over 2.5 goals and 39% for both teams to score, with 0–1 the single most likely scoreline at 15%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 37% favourite still loses or draws roughly 63% of the time.

Model pick

Bravo or Draw

68.4% probability

Moderate confidence

Expected goals

0.93 – 1.04

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Olimpija Ljubljana win32%
Draw31%
Bravo win37%

Double chance 1X

63%

Double chance 12

69%

Double chance X2

68%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals58%
Over 2.5 goals31%
Over 3.5 goals14%
Both teams to score39%

Correct score

  • 0–114.6%
  • 0–014.0%
  • 1–113.5%
  • 1–013.0%
  • 0–27.5%

Why the model likes this

  • Olimpija Ljubljana home form

    4 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Bravo to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 37%, against 32% / 31% / 37% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 0.93 goals for Olimpija Ljubljana and 1.04 for Bravo, a combined 1.96 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 31% and both teams to score at 39%, with 0–1 the single most likely scoreline at 15%.

Recent form

Olimpija Ljubljana

  • 2026-08-15T18:15:00.000Z · H vs Maribor · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-08-08T18:15:00.000Z · A vs Celje · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-08-02T18:15:00.000Z · H vs Aluminij · 1-0 (W)
  • 2026-07-25T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Mura · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-07-18T18:15:00.000Z · H vs Bravo · 0-2 (L)

Bravo

    Head-to-head

    Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

    #TeamPWDLGDPts
    1Maribor523059
    2Celje422038
    3Nafta521227
    4Bravo421107
    5Koper412105
    6Brinje-Grosuplje4121-15
    7Radomlje4112-14
    8Olimpija Ljubljana5113-34
    9Mura4112-44
    10Aluminij3021-12

    Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.