Omonia Nicosia vs Hapoel Beer Sheva Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.00 expected goals for Omonia Nicosia and 2.00 for Hapoel Beer Sheva, a combined total of 4.00. That distribution gives Omonia Nicosia the largest share of the 1X2 market at 40%, with the draw at 21%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 76% for over 2.5 goals and 75% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 7%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 40% favourite still loses or draws roughly 60% of the time.

Model pick

Omonia Nicosia or Draw

60.3% probability

Moderate confidence

Expected goals

2.00 – 2.00

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Omonia Nicosia win40%

Draw21%

Hapoel Beer Sheva win40%

Double chance 1X

60%

Double chance 12

79%

Double chance X2

60%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals91%

Over 2.5 goals76%

Over 3.5 goals57%

Both teams to score75%

Correct score

1–17.3%
1–27.3%
2–17.3%
2–27.3%
1–34.9%

Why the model likes this

Omonia Nicosia home form
13 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Hapoel Beer Sheva away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Omonia Nicosia to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 40%, against 40% / 21% / 40% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.00 goals for Omonia Nicosia and 2.00 for Hapoel Beer Sheva, a combined 4.00 — an open game on paper.

Recent form

Omonia Nicosia

2026-08-13T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Lincoln Red Imps FC · 1-0 (W)
2026-08-06T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Lincoln Red Imps FC · 1-1 (D)
2026-07-29T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Kairat Almaty · 0-1 (L)
2026-07-22T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Kairat Almaty · 1-0 (W)
2026-07-16T17:00:00.000Z · H vs Panetolikos · 2-1 (W)

Hapoel Beer Sheva

2026-08-15T17:30:00.000Z · A vs Hapoel Haifa · 0-4 (L)
2026-08-11T18:00:00.000Z · A vs FK Crvena Zvezda · 2-0 (W)
2026-08-04T17:30:00.000Z · H vs FK Crvena Zvezda · 1-0 (W)
2026-07-29T17:30:00.000Z · H vs Vikingur Reykjavik · 2-0 (W)
2026-07-21T19:00:00.000Z · A vs Vikingur Reykjavik · 1-2 (L)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.