· Analysis updated 03:38 UTC
P-Iirot vs Honka Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.27 expected goals for P-Iirot and 2.12 for Honka, a combined total of 3.39. That distribution gives Honka the largest share of the 1X2 market at 57%, with the draw at 21%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 66% for over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 57% favourite still loses or draws roughly 43% of the time.
Model pick
Honka to Win
57.0% probability
Expected goals
1.27 – 2.12
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
43%
Double chance 12
79%
Double chance X2
78%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–29.6%
- 1–19.1%
- 0–27.6%
- 0–17.2%
- 1–36.8%
Why the model likes this
P-Iirot home form
9 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Honka to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 57%, against 22% / 21% / 57% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.27 goals for P-Iirot and 2.12 for Honka, a combined 3.39 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 66% and both teams to score at 63%, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 10%.
Recent form
P-Iirot
- 2026-08-15T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Honka · 2-3 (L)
- 2026-08-08T14:00:00.000Z · H vs GrIFK · 2-0 (W)
- 2026-08-01T14:00:00.000Z · A vs NJS · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-07-24T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Ilves II · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-07-18T14:00:00.000Z · A vs EBK · 1-1 (D)
Honka
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Kakkonen - Lohko B table
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.