Paraguari AC vs Tacuary Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.35 expected goals for Paraguari AC and 1.13 for Tacuary, a combined total of 2.48. That distribution gives Paraguari AC the largest share of the 1X2 market at 42%, with the draw at 27%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 45% for over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 13%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 42% favourite still loses or draws roughly 58% of the time.

Model pick

Paraguari AC or Draw

68.8% probability

Moderate confidence

Expected goals

1.35 – 1.13

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Paraguari AC win42%

Draw27%

Tacuary win31%

Double chance 1X

69%

Double chance 12

73%

Double chance X2

58%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals71%

Over 2.5 goals45%

Over 3.5 goals24%

Both teams to score50%

Correct score

1–112.8%
1–011.3%
0–19.5%
2–18.6%
0–08.4%

Why the model likes this

Tacuary away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Paraguari AC to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 42%, against 42% / 27% / 31% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.35 goals for Paraguari AC and 1.13 for Tacuary, a combined 2.48 — a tighter, lower-scoring profile.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 45% and both teams to score at 50%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 13%.

Recent form

Paraguari AC

Tacuary

2026-08-10T19:30:00.000Z · H vs Guairena FC · 1-0 (W)
2026-08-01T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Resistencia · 1-3 (L)
2026-07-25T13:00:00.000Z · H vs SOL DE America · 1-1 (D)
2026-07-20T20:00:00.000Z · H vs Deportivo Capiata · 0-0 (D)
2026-07-13T20:00:00.000Z · A vs Independiente F.b.c. · 2-2 (D)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Division Intermedia table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	12 de Junio VH	19	12	4	3	12	40
2	General Caballero	18	11	3	4	14	36
3	Benjamín Aceval	19	10	5	4	11	35
4	Deportivo Santani	18	10	3	5	11	33
5	SOL DE America	19	6	11	2	8	29
6	Independiente F.b.c.	19	6	8	5	2	26
7	Resistencia	18	6	7	5	-1	25
8	Sportivo Carapeguá	18	7	4	7	-7	25
9	Atlético Tembetary	18	6	5	7	0	23
10	Deportivo Capiata	18	5	8	5	-1	23
11	Guairena FC	19	6	5	8	-4	23
12	Fernando De La Mora	19	6	5	8	-7	23
13	Paraguari AC	19	5	5	9	-5	20
14	Tacuary	18	3	9	6	-5	18
15	Encarnación	19	3	3	13	-12	12
16	3 de Noviembre	18	0	7	11	-16	7

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.