Austria · Cup · Round of 3215:00

15:00 UTC

Saturday, 5 September 2026

· Analysis updated 03:29 UTC

Parndorf vs Wolfsberger AC Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.00 expected goals for Parndorf and 3.00 for Wolfsberger AC, a combined total of 5.00. That distribution gives Wolfsberger AC the largest share of the 1X2 market at 58%, with the draw at 17%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 87% for over 2.5 goals and 82% for both teams to score, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 6%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 58% favourite still loses or draws roughly 42% of the time.

Model pick

Wolfsberger AC to Win

58.4% probability

Moderate confidence

Expected goals

2.00 – 3.00

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Parndorf win25%
Draw17%
Wolfsberger AC win58%

Double chance 1X

42%

Double chance 12

83%

Double chance X2

75%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals96%
Over 2.5 goals87%
Over 3.5 goals73%
Both teams to score82%

Correct score

  • 1–26.1%
  • 1–36.1%
  • 2–26.1%
  • 2–36.1%
  • 1–44.5%

Why the model likes this

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Wolfsberger AC to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 58%, against 25% / 17% / 58% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 2.00 goals for Parndorf and 3.00 for Wolfsberger AC, a combined 5.00 — an open game on paper.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 87% and both teams to score at 82%, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 6%.

  • Model confidence

    Wolfsberger AC to Win is the headline pick at 58% with medium confidence, built from team strength, home advantage and competition baselines while season data is still limited.

Recent form

Parndorf

    Wolfsberger AC

    • 2026-08-15T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Austria Lustenau · 1-2 (L)
    • 2026-08-09T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Red Bull Salzburg · 1-1 (D)
    • 2026-08-02T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Austria Vienna · 3-0 (W)
    • 2026-07-24T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Lauterach · 5-1 (W)
    • 2026-07-20T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Velden · 4-0 (W)

    Head-to-head

    Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

    Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.