Patro Eisden vs St. Truiden Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.10 expected goals for Patro Eisden and 2.65 for St. Truiden, a combined total of 3.75. That distribution gives St. Truiden the largest share of the 1X2 market at 70%, with the draw at 16%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 72% for over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score, with 1–2 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 70% favourite still loses or draws roughly 30% of the time.

Model pick

St. Truiden to Win

70.3% probability

High confidence

Expected goals

1.10 – 2.65

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Patro Eisden win14%

Draw16%

St. Truiden win70%

Double chance 1X

30%

Double chance 12

84%

Double chance X2

87%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals89%

Over 2.5 goals72%

Over 3.5 goals52%

Both teams to score62%

Correct score

1–29.1%
0–28.3%
1–38.0%
0–37.3%
1–16.9%

Why the model likes this

Patro Eisden home form
4 points from their last 3 home matches in our dataset.
St. Truiden away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 8 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates St. Truiden to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 70%, against 14% / 16% / 70% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.10 goals for Patro Eisden and 2.65 for St. Truiden, a combined 3.75 — an open game on paper.

Recent form

Patro Eisden

2026-08-15T14:00:00.000Z · H vs RSC Anderlecht II · 2-1 (W)
2026-08-08T14:00:00.000Z · H vs Liège · 0-0 (D)
2026-08-01T12:00:00.000Z · A vs MVV · 1-1 (D)
2026-07-29T09:30:00.000Z · A vs Waalwijk · 2-1 (W)
2026-07-24T11:30:00.000Z · A vs Union St. Gilloise · 0-4 (L)

St. Truiden

2026-08-14T18:45:00.000Z · A vs Cercle Brugge · 3-3 (D)
2026-08-08T18:45:00.000Z · H vs Lommel United · 1-1 (D)
2026-08-02T12:00:00.000Z · A vs AEK Athens FC · 0-3 (L)
2026-08-01T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Helmond Sport · 0-1 (L)
2026-07-25T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Al-Jazira · 0-0 (D)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.