Pors Stadion · Analysis updated 03:53 UTC
Pors Grenland vs Mjondalen Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.18 expected goals for Pors Grenland and 1.48 for Mjondalen, a combined total of 2.66. That distribution gives Mjondalen the largest share of the 1X2 market at 44%, with the draw at 26%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 50% for over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 44% favourite still loses or draws roughly 56% of the time.
Model pick
Mjondalen or Draw
69.8% probability
Expected goals
1.18 – 1.48
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
56%
Double chance 12
74%
Double chance X2
70%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–112.2%
- 0–110.3%
- 1–29.0%
- 1–08.3%
- 0–27.7%
Why the model likes this
Mjondalen away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Mjondalen to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 44%, against 30% / 26% / 44% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.18 goals for Pors Grenland and 1.48 for Mjondalen, a combined 2.66 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 50% and both teams to score at 54%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%.
Recent form
Pors Grenland
Mjondalen
- 2026-08-15T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Eik-Tønsberg · 2-1 (W)
- 2026-08-08T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Kvik Halden · 1-0 (W)
- 2026-08-01T13:00:00.000Z · H vs Notodden · 0-1 (L)
- 2026-07-25T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Brattvåg · 5-3 (W)
- 2026-06-27T11:30:00.000Z · H vs Bjarg · 1-0 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
2. Division - Group 1 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | jerv | 15 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 35 |
| 2 | Brattvåg | 16 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 32 |
| 3 | Mjondalen | 16 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 32 |
| 4 | Kvik Halden | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 30 |
| 5 | Notodden | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 27 |
| 6 | Træff | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 25 |
| 7 | Bjarg | 15 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 25 |
| 8 | Sotra | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 24 |
| 9 | Arendal | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | -2 | 20 |
| 10 | Pors Grenland | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | -3 | 19 |
| 11 | Sandviken | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | -12 | 14 |
| 12 | Lysekloster | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -14 | 14 |
| 13 | Vidar | 16 | 1 | 3 | 12 | -30 | 6 |
| 14 | Eik-Tønsberg | 16 | 1 | 1 | 14 | -22 | 4 |
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.