Real Betis vs Real Madrid Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.23 expected goals for Real Betis and 1.69 for Real Madrid, a combined total of 2.93. That distribution gives Real Madrid the largest share of the 1X2 market at 48%, with the draw at 24%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 56% for over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 48% favourite still loses or draws roughly 52% of the time.

Model pick

Real Madrid to Win

48.2% probability

Low confidence

Expected goals

1.23 – 1.69

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Real Betis win28%

Draw24%

Real Madrid win48%

Double chance 1X

52%

Double chance 12

76%

Double chance X2

72%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals79%

Over 2.5 goals56%

Over 3.5 goals34%

Both teams to score58%

Correct score

1–111.2%
1–29.5%
0–19.1%
0–27.7%
2–16.9%

Why the model likes this

Real Betis home form
10 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Real Madrid away threat
Scored in 5 of their last 6 away fixtures.
Head-to-head goals
Both teams scored in 5 of the last 10 meetings.

Recent form

Real Betis

2026-08-15T17:30:00.000Z · A vs Inter · 0-1 (L)
2026-08-08T18:30:00.000Z · H vs Bournemouth · 2-2 (D)
2026-08-05T18:45:00.000Z · A vs Arsenal · 3-1 (W)
2026-08-01T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Almeria · 1-0 (W)
2026-07-29T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Lyon · 4-0 (W)

Real Madrid

2026-08-12T19:00:00.000Z · A vs Deportivo La Coruna · 1-0 (W)
2026-08-08T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Ferencvarosi TC · 2-1 (W)
2026-08-01T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Fiorentina · 2-2 (D)
2026-07-28T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Leganes · 4-1 (W)
2026-05-23T19:00:00.000Z · H vs Athletic Club · 4-2 (W)

Head-to-head

2026-04-24T19:00:00.000Z · Real Betis 1-1 Real Madrid (La Liga)
2026-01-04T15:15:00.000Z · Real Betis 1-5 Real Madrid (La Liga)
2025-03-01T17:30:00.000Z · Real Betis 2-1 Real Madrid (La Liga)
2024-09-01T19:30:00.000Z · Real Betis 0-2 Real Madrid (La Liga)
2024-05-25T19:00:00.000Z · Real Betis 0-0 Real Madrid (La Liga)
2023-12-09T15:15:00.000Z · Real Betis 1-1 Real Madrid (La Liga)
2023-03-05T20:00:00.000Z · Real Betis 0-0 Real Madrid (La Liga)
2022-09-03T14:15:00.000Z · Real Betis 1-2 Real Madrid (La Liga)
2022-05-20T19:00:00.000Z · Real Betis 0-0 Real Madrid (La Liga)
2021-08-28T20:00:00.000Z · Real Betis 0-1 Real Madrid (La Liga)

La Liga table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Barcelona	38	31	1	6	59	94
2	Real Madrid	38	27	5	6	42	86
3	Villarreal	38	22	6	10	26	72
4	Atletico Madrid	38	21	6	11	18	69
5	Real Betis	38	15	15	8	11	60
6	Celta Vigo	38	14	12	12	5	54
7	Getafe	38	15	6	17	-6	51
8	Rayo Vallecano	38	12	14	12	-3	50
9	Valencia	38	13	10	15	-9	49
10	Real Sociedad	38	11	13	14	-2	46
11	Espanyol	38	12	10	16	-12	46
12	Athletic Club	38	13	6	19	-15	45
13	Sevilla	38	12	7	19	-14	43
14	Alaves	38	11	10	17	-12	43
15	Elche	38	10	13	15	-8	43
16	Levante	38	11	9	18	-14	42
17	Osasuna	38	11	9	18	-6	42
18	Mallorca	38	11	9	18	-10	42
19	Girona	38	9	14	15	-16	41
20	Oviedo	38	6	11	21	-34	29

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.