Remo vs Santos Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.66 expected goals for Remo and 1.53 for Santos, a combined total of 3.19. That distribution gives Remo the largest share of the 1X2 market at 41%, with the draw at 23%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 62% for over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 41% favourite still loses or draws roughly 59% of the time.

Model pick

Remo or Draw

64.6% probability

Moderate confidence

Expected goals

1.66 – 1.53

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Remo win41%

Draw23%

Santos win35%

Double chance 1X

65%

Double chance 12

77%

Double chance X2

59%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals83%

Over 2.5 goals62%

Over 3.5 goals40%

Both teams to score64%

Correct score

1–110.4%
2–18.7%
1–28.0%
1–06.8%
2–26.6%

Why the model likes this

Most likely outcome
The model rates Remo to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 41%, against 41% / 23% / 35% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.66 goals for Remo and 1.53 for Santos, a combined 3.19 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 62% and both teams to score at 64%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%.
Model confidence
Remo or Draw is the headline pick at 65% with medium confidence, built from team strength, home advantage and competition baselines while season data is still limited.

Recent form

Remo

Santos

2026-08-13T22:00:00.000Z · H vs Macara · 2-1 (W)
2026-08-09T21:30:00.000Z · H vs Atletico Paranaense · 0-2 (L)
2026-08-05T00:30:00.000Z · A vs Remo · 1-0 (W)
2026-08-02T00:00:00.000Z · H vs Remo · 0-0 (D)
2026-07-29T00:30:00.000Z · H vs UCV · 4-2 (W)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Serie A table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Palmeiras	23	14	6	3	21	48
2	Flamengo	21	12	6	3	21	42
3	Atletico Paranaense	23	12	5	6	11	41
4	Fluminense	23	10	8	5	6	38
5	Cruzeiro	22	9	6	7	-1	33
6	Bahia	22	8	9	5	4	33
7	RB Bragantino	22	9	5	8	4	32
8	Corinthians	22	8	8	6	4	32
9	Botafogo	21	8	6	7	2	30
10	Coritiba	22	8	6	8	-2	30
11	Atletico-MG	21	8	5	8	0	29
12	Sao Paulo	21	7	5	9	1	26
13	Vitoria	22	7	5	10	-11	26
14	Gremio	21	6	7	8	-3	25
15	Mirassol	21	6	5	10	-6	23
16	Internacional	22	5	8	9	-4	23
17	Santos	21	5	7	9	-6	22
18	Vasco DA Gama	21	5	7	9	-8	22
19	Remo	22	5	7	10	-10	22
20	Chapecoense-sc	21	1	7	13	-23	10

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.