Innviertel Arena · Analysis updated 04:21 UTC
Ried vs Wolfsberger AC Prediction, Odds & Statistics
Our Poisson-based model projects 1.19 expected goals for Ried and 1.71 for Wolfsberger AC, a combined total of 2.91. That distribution gives Wolfsberger AC the largest share of the 1X2 market at 50%, with the draw at 24%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 56% for over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 50% favourite still loses or draws roughly 50% of the time.
Model pick
Wolfsberger AC to Win
49.6% probability
Expected goals
1.19 – 1.71
Model version
poisson-v2
Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.
Match result (1X2)
Double chance 1X
50%
Double chance 12
76%
Double chance X2
73%
Goals markets
Correct score
- 1–111.2%
- 1–29.6%
- 0–19.4%
- 0–28.0%
- 2–16.7%
Why the model likes this
Most likely outcome
The model rates Wolfsberger AC to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 50%, against 27% / 24% / 50% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.19 goals for Ried and 1.71 for Wolfsberger AC, a combined 2.91 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 56% and both teams to score at 57%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%.
Model confidence
Wolfsberger AC to Win is the headline pick at 50% with low confidence, built from team strength, home advantage and competition baselines while season data is still limited.
Recent form
Ried
Wolfsberger AC
- 2026-08-15T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Austria Lustenau · 1-2 (L)
- 2026-08-09T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Red Bull Salzburg · 1-1 (D)
- 2026-08-02T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Austria Vienna · 3-0 (W)
- 2026-07-24T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Lauterach · 5-1 (W)
- 2026-07-20T16:00:00.000Z · A vs Velden · 4-0 (W)
Head-to-head
Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.
Bundesliga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lask Linz | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 9 |
| 2 | Sturm Graz | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 |
| 3 | Rapid Vienna | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 |
| 4 | Wolfsberger AC | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 |
| 5 | Red Bull Salzburg | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
| 6 | Austria Lustenau | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 7 | SCR Altach | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 8 | Grazer AK | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 3 |
| 9 | WSG Wattens | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 1 |
| 10 | Ried | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -4 | 1 |
| 11 | TSV Hartberg | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 0 |
| 12 | Austria Vienna | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -5 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.