Rijnvogels vs Excelsior Maassluis Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.60 expected goals for Rijnvogels and 1.15 for Excelsior Maassluis, a combined total of 2.75. That distribution gives Rijnvogels the largest share of the 1X2 market at 48%, with the draw at 25%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 52% for over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 48% favourite still loses or draws roughly 52% of the time.

Model pick

Rijnvogels to Win

47.8% probability

Low confidence

Expected goals

1.60 – 1.15

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Rijnvogels win48%

Draw25%

Excelsior Maassluis win27%

Double chance 1X

73%

Double chance 12

75%

Double chance X2

52%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals76%

Over 2.5 goals52%

Over 3.5 goals30%

Both teams to score55%

Correct score

1–111.8%
1–010.2%
2–19.4%
2–08.2%
0–17.4%

Why the model likes this

Rijnvogels home form
10 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.
Excelsior Maassluis away threat
Scored in 4 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Rijnvogels to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 48%, against 48% / 25% / 27% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.60 goals for Rijnvogels and 1.15 for Excelsior Maassluis, a combined 2.75 — an open game on paper.

Recent form

Rijnvogels

2026-08-15T12:00:00.000Z · H vs Gemert · 2-2 (D)
2026-06-06T12:30:00.000Z · A vs Excelsior Maassluis · 1-2 (L)
2026-06-03T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Excelsior Maassluis · 2-1 (W)
2026-05-30T13:00:00.000Z · A vs DVS 33 Ermelo · 2-2 (D)
2026-05-27T18:00:00.000Z · H vs DVS 33 Ermelo · 1-0 (W)

Excelsior Maassluis

2026-08-15T14:00:00.000Z · A vs UDI '19 · 1-1 (D)
2026-08-08T12:30:00.000Z · H vs Sparta Rotterdam II · 4-2 (W)
2026-07-11T09:00:00.000Z · H vs TOGB · 3-0 (W)
2026-06-13T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Ijsselmeervogels · 0-1 (L)
2026-06-10T18:00:00.000Z · H vs Ijsselmeervogels · 2-1 (W)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Tweede Divisie table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Quick Boys	34	19	10	5	34	66
2	De Treffers	34	18	9	7	27	63
3	Hoek	34	19	6	9	23	63
4	Rijnsburgse Boys	34	16	8	10	21	56
5	HHC	34	17	5	12	14	56
6	Spakenburg	34	16	8	10	12	56
7	Katwijk	34	15	7	12	5	52
8	Almere City II	34	15	5	14	8	50
9	Kozakken Boys	34	13	8	13	-8	47
10	Sparta Rotterdam II	34	12	9	13	-2	45
11	AFC Amsterdam	34	12	9	13	-8	45
12	Barendrecht	34	13	4	17	-22	43
13	RKAV Volendam	34	13	3	18	-12	42
14	GVVV Veenendaal	34	12	6	16	-15	42
15	Koninklijke HFC	34	12	3	19	-16	39
16	Ijsselmeervogels	34	9	4	21	-19	31
17	Excelsior Maassluis	34	8	7	19	-19	31
18	ACV	34	7	9	18	-23	30

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.