Denmark · 3. Division · Regular Season - 911:00
RingstedLLD

11:00 UTC

Saturday, 26 September 2026

NæsbyDLW

Ringsted Stadion · Analysis updated 01:33 UTC

Ringsted vs Næsby Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.57 expected goals for Ringsted and 1.90 for Næsby, a combined total of 3.47. That distribution gives Næsby the largest share of the 1X2 market at 46%, with the draw at 22%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 67% for over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 46% favourite still loses or draws roughly 54% of the time.

Model pick

Næsby to Win

45.6% probability

Low confidence

Expected goals

1.57 – 1.90

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Ringsted win32%
Draw22%
Næsby win46%

Double chance 1X

54%

Double chance 12

78%

Double chance X2

68%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals86%
Over 2.5 goals67%
Over 3.5 goals46%
Both teams to score67%

Correct score

  • 1–19.3%
  • 1–28.8%
  • 2–17.3%
  • 2–26.9%
  • 0–15.9%

Why the model likes this

  • Ringsted home form

    4 points from their last 5 home matches in our dataset.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Næsby to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 46%, against 32% / 22% / 46% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.57 goals for Ringsted and 1.90 for Næsby, a combined 3.47 — an open game on paper.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 67% and both teams to score at 67%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%.

Recent form

Ringsted

  • 2026-08-15T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Holstebro · 0-4 (L)
  • 2026-08-08T11:00:00.000Z · H vs FC Helsingor · 2-3 (L)
  • 2026-08-04T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Frem · 0-1 (L)
  • 2026-08-01T13:00:00.000Z · A vs ASA Aarhus · 1-1 (D)
  • 2026-07-25T12:00:00.000Z · A vs Sundby · 1-2 (L)

Næsby

    Head-to-head

    Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

    3. Division table

    Full league page →
    #TeamPWDLGDPts
    1Holstebro321057
    2Holbæk B&I321027
    3FC Helsingor321027
    4ASA Aarhus321027
    5Brønshøj312025
    6Vanløse311124
    7Hørsholm-Usserød311114
    8Næsby3111-24
    9Frem3012-21
    10Ishøj3012-31
    11Ringsted3012-51
    12Sundby3003-40

    Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.