Brazil · Paranaense - 3 · Regular Season - 222:30

30

Wednesday, 3 September 2025

· Analysis updated 02:48 UTC

Rolândia vs Hope Internacional Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.48 expected goals for Rolândia and 1.18 for Hope Internacional, a combined total of 2.66. That distribution gives Rolândia the largest share of the 1X2 market at 44%, with the draw at 26%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 50% for over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 44% favourite still loses or draws roughly 56% of the time.

Model pick

Rolândia or Draw

69.8% probability

Moderate confidence

Expected goals

1.48 – 1.18

Model version

poisson-baseline-v1

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Rolândia win44%
Draw26%
Hope Internacional win30%

Double chance 1X

70%

Double chance 12

74%

Double chance X2

56%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals74%
Over 2.5 goals50%
Over 3.5 goals28%
Both teams to score54%

Correct score

  • 1–112.2%
  • 1–010.4%
  • 2–19.0%
  • 0–18.3%
  • 2–07.7%

Why the model likes this

  • Hope Internacional away threat

    Scored in 2 of their last 5 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Rolândia to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 44%, against 44% / 26% / 30% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 1.48 goals for Rolândia and 1.18 for Hope Internacional, a combined 2.66 — an open game on paper.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 50% and both teams to score at 54%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 12%.

Recent form

Rolândia

    Hope Internacional

    • 2026-08-08T18:30:00.000Z · H vs Samas · 1-0 (W)
    • 2026-08-02T18:30:00.000Z · A vs AA Iguaçu · 0-1 (L)
    • 2026-07-26T18:30:00.000Z · H vs Iraty · 1-1 (D)
    • 2025-10-05T18:30:00.000Z · H vs Iraty · 0-1 (L)
    • 2025-10-01T13:00:00.000Z · A vs Araucária · 0-2 (L)

    Head-to-head

    Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

    Paranaense - 3 table

    Full league page →
    #TeamPWDLGDPts
    1City London330069
    2AA Iguaçu330049
    3União PR211014
    4Hope Internacional311104
    5Iraty311104
    6Oeste Brasil210113
    7PSTC Procopense3102-13
    8Cambé3102-23
    9Portuguesa Londrinense3102-33
    10Campo Mourão2011-21
    11Samas3003-40

    Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.