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RoskildeDWD

22

Saturday, 18 July 2026

· Analysis updated 02:58 UTC

Roskilde vs Fremad Amager Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.15 expected goals for Roskilde and 1.40 for Fremad Amager, a combined total of 3.55. That distribution gives Roskilde the largest share of the 1X2 market at 55%, with the draw at 21%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 69% for over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 55% favourite still loses or draws roughly 45% of the time.

Model pick

Roskilde to Win

54.6% probability

Low confidence

Expected goals

2.15 – 1.40

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Roskilde win55%
Draw21%
Fremad Amager win25%

Double chance 1X

75%

Double chance 12

79%

Double chance X2

45%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals87%
Over 2.5 goals69%
Over 3.5 goals47%
Both teams to score67%

Correct score

  • 2–19.3%
  • 1–18.6%
  • 3–16.7%
  • 2–06.6%
  • 2–26.5%

Why the model likes this

  • Fremad Amager away threat

    Scored in 5 of their last 8 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Roskilde to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 55%, against 55% / 21% / 25% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 2.15 goals for Roskilde and 1.40 for Fremad Amager, a combined 3.55 — an open game on paper.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 69% and both teams to score at 67%, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 9%.

Recent form

Roskilde

    Fremad Amager

    • 2026-08-14T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Skive · 2-0 (W)
    • 2026-08-08T11:30:00.000Z · A vs VSK Århus · 0-3 (L)
    • 2026-08-04T17:00:00.000Z · A vs FA 2000 · 0-1 (L)
    • 2026-07-31T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Nykobing FC · 2-2 (D)
    • 2026-07-25T10:00:00.000Z · A vs Frem · 0-1 (L)

    Head-to-head

    Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

    Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.