Skopje vs Ohrid Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 1.65 expected goals for Skopje and 1.32 for Ohrid, a combined total of 2.97. That distribution gives Skopje the largest share of the 1X2 market at 45%, with the draw at 24%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 57% for over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 45% favourite still loses or draws roughly 55% of the time.

Model pick

Skopje to Win

45.1% probability

Low confidence

Expected goals

1.65 – 1.32

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Skopje win45%

Draw24%

Ohrid win31%

Double chance 1X

69%

Double chance 12

76%

Double chance X2

55%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals80%

Over 2.5 goals57%

Over 3.5 goals35%

Both teams to score59%

Correct score

1–111.2%
2–19.2%
1–08.4%
1–27.4%
2–06.9%

Why the model likes this

Skopje home form
10 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Skopje to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 45%, against 45% / 24% / 31% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 1.65 goals for Skopje and 1.32 for Ohrid, a combined 2.97 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 57% and both teams to score at 59%, with 1–1 the single most likely scoreline at 11%.

Recent form

Skopje

2026-08-15T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Sileks · 0-3 (L)
2026-08-09T15:00:00.000Z · H vs Struga · 1-1 (D)
2026-07-26T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Shkendija · 0-3 (L)
2026-07-19T16:00:00.000Z · H vs Aresimi · 2-1 (W)
2026-05-31T14:30:00.000Z · A vs Akademija Pandev · 1-0 (W)

Ohrid

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Second League table

Full league page →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Bregalnica Štip	30	22	5	3	55	71
2	Skopje	30	23	2	5	53	71
3	Shkëndija Haraçinë	30	21	6	3	48	69
4	Ohrid	30	21	5	4	61	68
5	Belasica	30	18	4	8	36	58
6	Osogovo	30	16	6	8	26	54
7	Novaci	30	15	6	9	16	51
8	Detonit Plachkovica	30	14	7	9	24	49
9	Kozuv Gevgelija	30	12	9	9	24	45
10	Teteks	30	13	3	14	12	42
11	Sasa	30	9	9	12	-6	36
12	Vardar Negotino	30	6	4	20	-58	22
13	Sloga Vinica	30	4	3	23	-53	15
14	FK Prespa Resen	30	5	0	25	-46	15
15	Pobeda	30	3	2	25	-98	11
16	Golemo Konjari	30	2	1	27	-94	7

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.