Czech-Republic · 4. liga - Divizie D · Division D - 2514:30

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Sunday, 10 May 2026

· Analysis updated 03:53 UTC

Sokol Tasovice vs Ždírec nad Doubravou Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.17 expected goals for Sokol Tasovice and 1.20 for Ždírec nad Doubravou, a combined total of 3.37. That distribution gives Sokol Tasovice the largest share of the 1X2 market at 59%, with the draw at 20%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 66% for over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 59% favourite still loses or draws roughly 41% of the time.

Model pick

Sokol Tasovice to Win

59.4% probability

Moderate confidence

Expected goals

2.17 – 1.20

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Sokol Tasovice win59%
Draw20%
Ždírec nad Doubravou win20%

Double chance 1X

80%

Double chance 12

80%

Double chance X2

41%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals85%
Over 2.5 goals66%
Over 3.5 goals44%
Both teams to score62%

Correct score

  • 2–19.7%
  • 1–18.9%
  • 2–08.1%
  • 1–07.4%
  • 3–17.0%

Why the model likes this

  • Ždírec nad Doubravou away threat

    Scored in 3 of their last 4 away fixtures.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Sokol Tasovice to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 59%, against 59% / 20% / 20% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 2.17 goals for Sokol Tasovice and 1.20 for Ždírec nad Doubravou, a combined 3.37 — an open game on paper.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 66% and both teams to score at 62%, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 10%.

Recent form

Sokol Tasovice

    Ždírec nad Doubravou

    • 2026-08-15T08:15:00.000Z · A vs Tatran Bohunice · 1-1 (D)
    • 2026-08-09T14:30:00.000Z · H vs Sokol Tasovice · 1-3 (L)
    • 2026-07-26T08:30:00.000Z · H vs Kuřim · 1-1 (D)
    • 2026-06-13T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Znojmo · 2-1 (W)
    • 2026-06-07T15:00:00.000Z · A vs Velká Bíteš · 0-2 (L)

    Head-to-head

    Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

    4. liga - Divizie D table

    Full league page →
    #TeamPWDLGDPts
    1Tatran Bohunice211044
    2Znojmo211014
    3Kuřim210163
    4Sokol Tasovice110023
    5Žďár nad Sázavou110013
    6Pelhřimov110013
    7FS Třebíč210103
    8Velká Bíteš2101-33
    9Humpolec101001
    10Velké Meziříčí101001
    11Bedrichov101001
    12Ždírec nad Doubravou2011-21
    13Bystrc Kníničky1001-10
    14Sparta Brno1001-10
    15Havlíčkův Brod1001-10
    16Chotebor1001-70

    Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.