Sparta Nijkerk vs VV Scherpenzeel Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.48 expected goals for Sparta Nijkerk and 1.69 for VV Scherpenzeel, a combined total of 4.17. That distribution gives Sparta Nijkerk the largest share of the 1X2 market at 55%, with the draw at 19%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 79% for over 2.5 goals and 75% for both teams to score, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 8%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 55% favourite still loses or draws roughly 45% of the time.

Model pick

Sparta Nijkerk to Win

55.0% probability

Moderate confidence

Expected goals

2.48 – 1.69

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Sparta Nijkerk win55%

Draw19%

VV Scherpenzeel win26%

Double chance 1X

74%

Double chance 12

81%

Double chance X2

45%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals92%

Over 2.5 goals79%

Over 3.5 goals60%

Both teams to score75%

Correct score

2–18.0%
2–26.8%
3–16.6%
1–16.5%
3–25.6%

Why the model likes this

VV Scherpenzeel away threat
Scored in 2 of their last 5 away fixtures.
Most likely outcome
The model rates Sparta Nijkerk to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 55%, against 55% / 19% / 26% for home, draw and away.
Expected goals balance
Projected 2.48 goals for Sparta Nijkerk and 1.69 for VV Scherpenzeel, a combined 4.17 — an open game on paper.
Goals markets
Over 2.5 goals lands at 79% and both teams to score at 75%, with 2–1 the single most likely scoreline at 8%.

Recent form

Sparta Nijkerk

VV Scherpenzeel

2026-08-15T12:45:00.000Z · A vs Purmersteijn · 1-3 (L)
2026-05-23T13:30:00.000Z · H vs Hsc 21 · 4-4 (D)
2026-05-16T13:30:00.000Z · A vs ADO '20 · 0-1 (L)
2026-05-09T12:30:00.000Z · H vs SC Genemuiden · 4-0 (W)
2026-04-25T12:30:00.000Z · A vs Huizen · 4-0 (W)

Head-to-head

Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.