Sweden · Ettan - Norra · Norra - 1117:00

41

Monday, 8 June 2026

VasalundWDLLD

Kristinebergs IP · Analysis updated 02:59 UTC

Stockholm Internazionale vs Vasalund Prediction, Odds & Statistics

Our Poisson-based model projects 2.51 expected goals for Stockholm Internazionale and 0.98 for Vasalund, a combined total of 3.49. That distribution gives Stockholm Internazionale the largest share of the 1X2 market at 71%, with the draw at 17%. Goals markets follow the same shape: 68% for over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score, with 2–0 the single most likely scoreline at 10%. Probabilities are statistical estimates and carry meaningful uncertainty — a 71% favourite still loses or draws roughly 29% of the time.

Model pick

Stockholm Internazionale to Win

70.6% probability

High confidence

Expected goals

2.51 – 0.98

Model version

poisson-v2

Probabilities are statistical estimates, not guarantees.

Match result (1X2)

Stockholm Internazionale win71%
Draw17%
Vasalund win13%

Double chance 1X

87%

Double chance 12

83%

Double chance X2

29%

Goals markets

Over 1.5 goals86%
Over 2.5 goals68%
Over 3.5 goals46%
Both teams to score57%

Correct score

  • 2–09.6%
  • 2–19.4%
  • 3–08.0%
  • 3–17.9%
  • 1–07.7%

Why the model likes this

  • Stockholm Internazionale home form

    12 points from their last 4 home matches in our dataset.

  • Most likely outcome

    The model rates Stockholm Internazionale to win the strongest 1X2 selection at 71%, against 71% / 17% / 13% for home, draw and away.

  • Expected goals balance

    Projected 2.51 goals for Stockholm Internazionale and 0.98 for Vasalund, a combined 3.49 — an open game on paper.

  • Goals markets

    Over 2.5 goals lands at 68% and both teams to score at 57%, with 2–0 the single most likely scoreline at 10%.

Recent form

Stockholm Internazionale

  • 2026-08-09T11:00:00.000Z · A vs Vasalund · 0-2 (L)
  • 2026-08-01T14:00:00.000Z · A vs Järfälla · 4-0 (W)
  • 2026-06-27T11:00:00.000Z · H vs Enköping · 2-0 (W)
  • 2026-06-18T17:00:00.000Z · A vs Gefle IF · 2-0 (W)
  • 2026-06-14T14:00:00.000Z · H vs FBK Karlstad · 3-1 (W)

Vasalund

    Head-to-head

    Head-to-head history is temporarily unavailable. The prediction below is unaffected — it is built from current form, home and away performance, goals data and competition statistics.

    Ettan - Norra table

    Full league page →
    #TeamPWDLGDPts
    1Hammarby Talang1711333036
    2IF Karlstad1711331536
    3Stockholm Internazionale169341630
    4Arlanda16862930
    5AFC Eskilstuna17845328
    6Enköping16916128
    7FBK Karlstad16745125
    8Karlberg17737324
    9Assyriska FF17656023
    10Gefle IF17629-1320
    11Vasalund16547-819
    12Sollentuna17386-917
    13Umeå FC17449-916
    14Järfälla174310-1415
    15Stocksund172510-711
    16Piteå162410-1810

    Predictions are statistical estimates generated from historical and current team data. They are provided for information and entertainment only and are not betting advice. 18+ only.